Ibrahim Sangaré
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ibrahim Sangaré's performance-implied value at EUR 15.6M-35.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 12.2M-22.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.8M-15.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.10x the positional average in the league (2080 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 7
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 92.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €17.4M vs market €20.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -46% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2080 (61% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.17
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.14
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 93 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1635
- Opponent strength
- 1608
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €6.8M – €15.0M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 44 pts; team strength up (+63 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -46% (IQR -69% to +25%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League | DM | 28 | 2080 | 61% | 2 | 2 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 1608 | 1635 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League | DM | 13 | 590 | 17% | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 1501 | 1573 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League | DM | 17 | 1038 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1566 | 1428 | 1.14 |
| 2023/24 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | DM | 2 | 180 | 6% | 0 | 1 | 0.50 | 0.09 | 1371 | 1659 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | DM | 29 | 2304 | 75% | 5 | 1 | 0.23 | 0.12 | 1354 | 1649 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | DM | 29 | 2415 | 79% | 3 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.08 | 1321 | 1641 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | DM | 29 | 2281 | 75% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.04 | 1351 | 1567 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | DM | 25 | 2177 | 86% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 1434 | 1210 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | DM | 28 | 2466 | 72% | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 1475 | 1317 | 0.82 |
| 2017/18 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | CM | 20 | 1590 | 46% | 1 | 2 | 0.17 | 0.25 | 1442 | 1352 | 0.85 |
| 2016/17 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | DM | 5 | 262 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1398 | 1403 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Nottingham Forest | 14 | 739 | 0 | 1 | 1494 |
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Ivory Coast | 4 | 331 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Ivory Coast | 3 | 178 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Nottingham Forest | 3 | 151 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 360 | 2 | 0 | 1443 |
| 2023/24 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1639 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 513 | 1 | 1 | 1578 |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 5 | 480 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 378 | 1 | 0 | 1611 |
| 2022/23 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1749 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1508 |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 360 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 343 | 1 | 0 | 1438 |
| 2021/22 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1722 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | PSV Eindhoven | 7 | 558 | 0 | 1 | 1516 |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 213 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philippe Coutinho Premier League · 2022 | 30 | €20.0M | €7.5M | fell |
| Manuel Lanzini Premier League · 2022 | 29 | €12.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Christian Eriksen Premier League · 2023 | 31 | €22.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Scott McTominay Premier League · 2024 | 28 | €32.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| Geoffrey Kondogbia Laliga · 2022 | 29 | €20.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Kaoru Mitoma Premier League · 2023 | 26 | €32.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| Yevgen Konoplyanka Bundesliga · 2018 | 29 | €10.0M | €4.8M | fell |
| Beñat Etxebarria Laliga · 2015 | 28 | €6.0M | €8.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sept 2023 | PSV | Nott'm Forest | €35.0M | €35.0M |
| 28 Sept 2020 | Toulouse | PSV | €7.0M | €9.5M |
| 5 Jul 2016 | AS Denguélé | Toulouse | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.