Amando Lapage
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Amando Lapage's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-2.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 65
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 13.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €867k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | High | +24% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 39% |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 945 (35% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.04
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 14 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1348
- Opponent strength
- 1352
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 39%
- Resale range (24m)
- €463k – €2.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +29% (IQR -16% to +169%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 945 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 11 | 945 | 35% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1352 | 1348 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 2 | 95 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1555 | 1476 | 0.63 |
| 2024/25 | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 1 | 26 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1395 | 1322 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | KVC Westerlo | 5 | 321 | 0 | 0 | 1312 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Bjelica Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 22 | €650k | €1.0M | rose |
| Nélson Monte Liga Portugal · 2016 | 21 | €750k | €2.0M | rose |
| Mamadou Fofana Super Lig · 2018 | 20 | €500k | €3.2M | rose |
| Roderick Miranda Liga Portugal · 2014 | 23 | €1.0M | €750k | fell |
| Konstantin Pliev Premier Liga · 2020 | 24 | €650k | €700k | flat |
| Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi Super Lig · 2014 | 22 | €800k | €2.2M | rose |
| Easah Suliman Liga Portugal · 2021 | 23 | €800k | €350k | fell |
| Kiko Liga Portugal · 2015 | 22 | €400k | €350k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2025 | RSCA Futures | KVC Westerlo | €250k | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Anderlecht U18 | RSCA Futures | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Anderlecht Yth. | Anderlecht U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.