Igor Krasnopir
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Igor Krasnopir's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-2.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-3.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.01x the positional average in the league (1597 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 54
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 24.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €1.5M vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +3% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1597 (59% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.56
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.52
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 24 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1246
- Opponent strength
- 1180
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €750k – €3.1M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 16 pts; changed club.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -17% (IQR -30% to +62%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1597 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 18 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 94%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Karpaty Lviv | Premier Liga | ST | 16 | 915 | 34% | 4 | 1 | 0.49 | 0.52 | 1180 | 1213 | 0.25 |
| 2025/26 | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | Premier Liga | ST | 13 | 682 | 25% | 2 | 3 | 0.66 | 0.51 | 1192 | 1290 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | ST | 17 | 1252 | 46% | 6 | 0 | 0.43 | 0.51 | 1195 | 1199 | 0.28 |
| 2024/25 | Karpaty Lviv | Premier Liga | ST | 13 | 771 | 29% | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.44 | 1213 | 1185 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Obolon Kyiv | Premier Liga | ST | 29 | 2062 | 76% | 6 | 1 | 0.31 | 0.56 | 1257 | 1078 | 0.34 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Karpaty Lviv | 2 | 146 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Rukh Lviv | 1 | 75 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Obolon Kyiv | 2 | 122 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duk Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 24 | €1.5M | €2.5M | rose |
| Benjamin Tetteh Super Lig · 2021 | 24 | €2.3M | €1.5M | fell |
| Anastasios Chatzigiovanis Super League 1 · 2021 | 24 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Braian Samudio Super Lig · 2021 | 26 | €2.5M | €1.8M | fell |
| Xesc Regis Super League 1 · 2022 | 26 | €500k | €800k | rose |
| Sander Svendsen Superliga · 2020 | 23 | €650k | €600k | flat |
| Dylan Vente Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 25 | €800k | €2.5M | rose |
| Kevin Varga Super Lig · 2021 | 25 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2026 | Karpaty Lviv | Polissya | €1.2M | €1.0M |
| 20 Jan 2025 | Rukh Lviv | Karpaty Lviv | €1.0M | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Obolon | Rukh Lviv | €700k | €400k |
| 6 Aug 2022 | Unknown | Obolon | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 20 May 2021 | Champion Kyiv | Unknown | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.