
Dylan Vente
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dylan Vente's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-3.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.2M-2.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.82x the positional average in the league (2130 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 46
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 33.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.8M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -30% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2130 (70% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.38
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.41
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 34 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1284
- Opponent strength
- 1311
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.2M – €2.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 16 pts; changed club; relative output down 31% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -5% (IQR -33% to +9%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | ST | 30 | 2130 | 70% | 7 | 2 | 0.38 | 0.41 | 1311 | 1284 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | ST | 30 | 2523 | 82% | 13 | 0 | 0.46 | 0.63 | 1311 | 1265 | 0.50 |
| 2024/25 | Hibernian FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 2 | 88 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 1261 | 1303 | 0.34 |
| 2023/24 | Hibernian FC | Scottish Premiership | ST | 25 | 1729 | 58% | 4 | 3 | 0.36 | 0.47 | 1246 | 1200 | 0.34 |
| 2020/21 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | ST | 1 | 12 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 1353 | 1457 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | RKC Waalwijk | Eredivisie | ST | 17 | 949 | 41% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.39 | 1403 | 1174 | 0.62 |
| 2019/20 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | ST | 1 | 64 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.27 | 1187 | 1542 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | ST | 13 | 537 | 18% | 1 | 2 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 1302 | 1502 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | ST | 9 | 453 | 15% | 3 | 4 | 1.39 | 0.51 | 1275 | 1530 | 0.59 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 3 | 187 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 98 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Hibernian FC | 3 | 204 | 1 | 1 | 1408 |
| 2023/24 | Scottish Fa Cup | Hibernian FC | 1 | 33 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | RKC Waalwijk | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 2 | 109 | 0 | 0 | 1369 |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 3 | 101 | 3 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1636 |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 2 | 160 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1728 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koki Ogawa Eredivisie · 2024 | 27 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Serginho Super Lig · 2022 | 27 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Louka Prip Superliga · 2023 | 26 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Roman Ezhov Premier Liga · 2023 | 26 | €2.0M | €1.8M | flat |
| David Akintola Super Lig · 2021 | 25 | €2.4M | €2.4M | flat |
| Kevin Nisbet Scottish Premiership · 2022 | 25 | €2.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Søren Rieks Eredivisie · 2013 | 26 | €1.3M | €1.3M | flat |
| Michael de Leeuw Eredivisie · 2013 | 27 | €1.5M | €2.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Hibernian FC | Heerenveen | €1.1M | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | PEC Zwolle | Hibernian FC | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 15 Aug 2024 | Hibernian FC | PEC Zwolle | Free / loan | €800k |
| 31 Jul 2023 | Roda JC | Hibernian FC | €900k | €850k |
| 4 Aug 2021 | Feyenoord U21 | Roda JC | Free / loan | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Roda JC | Feyenoord U21 | Free / loan | €400k |
| 28 Jan 2021 | Feyenoord U21 | Roda JC | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Feyenoord | Feyenoord U21 | Unknown | €450k |
| 30 Jun 2020 | RKC Waalwijk | Feyenoord | Free / loan | €450k |
| 23 Aug 2019 | Feyenoord | RKC Waalwijk | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Feyenoord U19 | Feyenoord | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Feyenoord U17 | Feyenoord U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Feyenoord Youth | Feyenoord U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.