Dylan Vente

27 yrs · Striker · Suriname
SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie · Foot: right · Height: 185 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€2.5M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€1.0M – €3.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€601k – €1.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.2M – €2.9M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€2.4M – €289k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.0M – €3.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€601k – €1.3M
Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €2.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Dylan Vente's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-3.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.2M-2.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.82x the positional average in the league (2130 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 46

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average33.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral27.1 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.8M vs market €2.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-30% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €3.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2130 (70% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.38
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.41
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
34 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1284
Opponent strength
1311
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.2M – €2.9M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 16 pts; changed club; relative output down 31% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -5% (IQR -33% to +9%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
82 (ATT)
Relative output kept
73%–122%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
61%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26SC HeerenveenEredivisieST30213070%720.380.41131112840.43
2024/25PEC ZwolleEredivisieST30252382%1300.460.63131112650.50
2024/25Hibernian FCScottish PremiershipST2883%000.000.55126113030.34
2023/24Hibernian FCScottish PremiershipST25172958%430.360.47124612000.34
2020/21Feyenoord RotterdamEredivisieST1120%000.000.37135314570.56
2019/20RKC WaalwijkEredivisieST1794941%000.000.39140311740.62
2019/20Feyenoord RotterdamEredivisieST1643%000.000.27118715420.62
2018/19Feyenoord RotterdamEredivisieST1353718%120.500.30130215020.61
2017/18Feyenoord RotterdamEredivisieST945315%341.390.51127515300.59

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Knvb BekerSC Heerenveen318710—
2024/25Knvb BekerPEC Zwolle19810—
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingHibernian FC3204111408
2023/24Scottish Fa CupHibernian FC13300—
2019/20Knvb BekerRKC Waalwijk1900—
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingFeyenoord Rotterdam2109001369
2018/19Knvb BekerFeyenoord Rotterdam310130—
2018/19Johan Cruijff SchaalFeyenoord Rotterdam16101636
2017/18Knvb BekerFeyenoord Rotterdam216000—
2017/18Uefa Champions LeagueFeyenoord Rotterdam119001728

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Koki Ogawa
Eredivisie · 2024
27€3.0M€2.0Mfell
Serginho
Super Lig · 2022
27€1.5M€1.0Mfell
Louka Prip
Superliga · 2023
26€1.5M€1.0Mfell
Roman Ezhov
Premier Liga · 2023
26€2.0M€1.8Mflat
David Akintola
Super Lig · 2021
25€2.4M€2.4Mflat
Kevin Nisbet
Scottish Premiership · 2022
25€2.0M€2.5Mrose
Søren Rieks
Eredivisie · 2013
26€1.3M€1.3Mflat
Michael de Leeuw
Eredivisie · 2013
27€1.5M€2.5Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025Hibernian FCHeerenveen€1.1M€2.0M
30 Jun 2025PEC ZwolleHibernian FCFree / loan€2.0M
15 Aug 2024Hibernian FCPEC ZwolleFree / loan€800k
31 Jul 2023Roda JCHibernian FC€900k€850k
4 Aug 2021Feyenoord U21Roda JCFree / loan€400k
30 Jun 2021Roda JCFeyenoord U21Free / loan€400k
28 Jan 2021Feyenoord U21Roda JCFree / loan€400k
1 Jul 2020FeyenoordFeyenoord U21Unknown€450k
30 Jun 2020RKC WaalwijkFeyenoordFree / loan€450k
23 Aug 2019FeyenoordRKC WaalwijkFree / loan€1.0M
1 Jul 2017Feyenoord U19FeyenoordUnknown€100k
1 Jul 2016Feyenoord U17Feyenoord U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Feyenoord YouthFeyenoord U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.