Yevgeniy Pastukh
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yevgeniy Pastukh's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-3.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.64x the positional average in the league (2198 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 95
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 25.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €695k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +28% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 23% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2198 (81% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.16
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.24
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 26 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1211
- Opponent strength
- 1179
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- 23%
- Resale range (24m)
- €586k – €3.1M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 17 pts; changed club.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +4% (IQR -44% to +14%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | LNZ Cherkasy | Premier Liga | AM | 26 | 1862 | 69% | 1 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.24 | 1179 | 1242 | 0.25 |
| 2025/26 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | AM | 4 | 336 | 12% | 0 | 1 | 0.27 | 0.36 | 1135 | 1039 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | AM | 21 | 1733 | 64% | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 1205 | 1199 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | AM | 28 | 2037 | 75% | 4 | 2 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 1279 | 1265 | 0.34 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | LNZ Cherkasy | 3 | 225 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Rukh Lviv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Rukh Lviv | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Rukh Lviv | 2 | 68 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentyn Rubchynskyi Premier Liga · 2024 | 22 | €1.8M | €750k | fell |
| Obinna Nwobodo Super Lig · 2021 | 25 | €1.3M | €2.5M | rose |
| Alex Cochrane Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 24 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Malachi Boateng Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 22 | €450k | €500k | flat |
| Artem Chelyadin Premier Liga · 2024 | 25 | €800k | €250k | fell |
| Keanu Baccus Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 25 | €650k | €700k | flat |
| Magnus Christensen Superliga · 2020 | 23 | €800k | €500k | fell |
| Berkan Kutlu Super Lig · 2021 | 23 | €3.3M | €4.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sept 2025 | Karpaty Lviv | LNZ Cherkasy | €500k | €700k |
| 4 Sept 2025 | Rukh Lviv | Karpaty Lviv | Free / loan | €700k |
| 21 Jan 2025 | Karpaty Lviv | Rukh Lviv | Free / loan | €600k |
| 20 Jan 2025 | Rukh Lviv | Karpaty Lviv | €400k | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Rukh Lviv U19 | Rukh Lviv | Unknown | €50k |
| 14 Jul 2021 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Rukh Lviv U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2021 | Dynamo Kyiv U17 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Sept 2020 | Shakhtar U17 | Dynamo Kyiv U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Sept 2019 | Karpaty U17 | Shakhtar U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.