Vladyslav Kalitvintsev

33 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also LM, LW, RM) · Ukraine
TOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv · Premier Liga · Foot: left · Height: 178 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
No index
CompareCheaper alternative
Market value
€300k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€66k – €310k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€162k – €441k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€80k – €307k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€148k – €375k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€66k – €310k
Model value (performance-implied)€162k – €441k
Projected value (24 months)€80k – €307k
Dashed line: current market value (€300k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Vladyslav Kalitvintsev's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.99x the positional average in the league (1531 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceBelow average23.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable33.5 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €160k vs market €300k
Expected appreciationVery low-30% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1531 (57% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.23
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.40
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
24 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1186
Opponent strength
1213
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€80k – €307k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -60% (IQR -63% to -46%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1531 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
37 (all positions)
Relative output kept
87%–128%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
86%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26TOV FK Metalist 1925 KharkivPremier LigaAM24153157%130.240.40121311860.25
2023/24FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaRM24193472%110.090.11127112180.34
2022/23FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaRM20137551%240.390.33124712840.38
2021/22Desna ChernigivPremier LigaRM16137185%340.460.37127612980.45
2020/21Desna ChernigivPremier LigaRM21170773%160.370.27132113310.49
2019/20Desna ChernigivPremier LigaRM21147274%530.490.43134313800.54
2018/19Arsenal KyivPremier LigaLM21779%000.000.37141711860.57
2018/19Dynamo KyivPremier LigaAM1191%000.000.26123915280.57
2017/18Zorya LuganskPremier LigaRM647824%110.380.21125414230.62
2016/17Chornomorets OdesaPremier LigaLW1283629%020.220.47129412540.56
2016/17Zorya LuganskPremier LigaRM968124%100.130.24144814140.56
2015/16Chornomorets OdesaPremier LigaLW20178976%550.500.61132112280.54
2014/15Dynamo KyivPremier LigaLW635815%110.500.34137515730.54
2013/14Dynamo KyivPremier LigaRM32118%100.430.26140715090.63
2012/13Dynamo KyivPremier LigaAM1592%000.000.19116315650.70

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Ukrainian CupTOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv421600—
2023/24Ukrainian CupFC Oleksandriya213501—
2021/22Ukrainian CupDesna Chernigiv19000—
2020/21Ukrainian CupDesna Chernigiv218001—
2020/21Uefa Europa League QualifyingDesna Chernigiv190001560
2019/20Ukrainian CupDesna Chernigiv12400—
2015/16Ukrainian CupChornomorets Odesa218001—
2014/15Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv311810—
2014/15Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv550001532
2013/14Uefa Europa League QualifyingFC Slovan Liberec5204001398
2013/14Uefa Europa LeagueFC Slovan Liberec6178101510
2013/14Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv22000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Kyrylo Kovalets
Premier Liga · 2024
31€500k€150kfell
Gabriel Obertan
Super Lig · 2021
32€400k€150kfell
Andriy Batsula
Premier Liga · 2024
32€300k€125kfell
Stefanos Siontis
Super League 1 · 2021
34€200k€75kfell
Cenk Ahmet Alkilic
Super Lig · 2021
34€275k€100kfell
Jean Barrientos
Super League 1 · 2023
33€400k€200kfell
Andriy Bogdanov
Premier Liga · 2023
33€300k€200kfell
Daan Rienstra
Super League 1 · 2023
31€250k€250kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026Metalist 1925Without ClubUnknown€300k
21 Aug 2024FC OleksandriyaMetalist 1925Free / loan€600k
10 Jan 2022DesnaFC OleksandriyaFree / loan€1.0M
1 Jul 2019Arsenal KyivDesnaFree / loan€600k
1 Mar 2019Dynamo KyivArsenal KyivFree / loan€700k
31 Dec 2017Zorya LuganskDynamo KyivFree / loan€900k
1 Feb 2017Dynamo KyivZorya LuganskFree / loan€800k
31 Dec 2016ChornomoretsDynamo KyivFree / loan€900k
1 Mar 2016Dynamo KyivChornomoretsFree / loan€1.0M
31 Dec 2015ChornomoretsDynamo KyivFree / loan€1.0M
1 Jul 2015Dynamo KyivChornomoretsFree / loan€1.0M
20 Feb 2014Dynamo Kyiv IIDynamo KyivUnknown€800k
31 Dec 2013Slovan LiberecDynamo Kyiv IIFree / loan€500k
7 Jul 2013Dynamo Kyiv IISlovan LiberecFree / loan€300k
1 Jan 2010Dynamo-2 KyivDynamo Kyiv IIUnknown€100k
1 Jan 2009Dynamo Kyiv U17Dynamo-2 KyivUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.