
Ömer Ali Şahiner
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ömer Ali Şahiner's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Average | 41.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 34.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €106k vs market €200k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -22% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1842 (60% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 41 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1357
- Opponent strength
- 1273
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €56k – €207k
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+71 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -67% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 50 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–191%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 54%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Basaksehir FK | Super Lig | RB | 26 | 1842 | 60% | 2 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 1273 | 1357 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Basaksehir FK | Super Lig | RB | 22 | 1475 | 46% | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 1301 | 1286 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Basaksehir FK | Super Lig | RB | 22 | 1196 | 35% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 1287 | 1397 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | Basaksehir FK | Super Lig | RB | 27 | 1949 | 60% | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 1279 | 1395 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Basaksehir FK | Super Lig | RB | 22 | 1121 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 1234 | 1372 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Basaksehir FK | Super Lig | RB | 16 | 1209 | 34% | 2 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 1260 | 1266 | 0.37 |
| 2020/21 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | AM | 12 | 895 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.29 | 1251 | 1225 | 0.37 |
| 2019/20 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | RW | 30 | 2529 | 83% | 4 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.34 | 1347 | 1226 | 0.45 |
| 2018/19 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | RW | 27 | 2188 | 72% | 8 | 4 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 1383 | 1333 | 0.58 |
| 2017/18 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | RW | 31 | 2352 | 77% | 5 | 2 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 1395 | 1345 | 0.68 |
| 2016/17 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | RW | 31 | 2410 | 79% | 5 | 4 | 0.34 | 0.32 | 1377 | 1334 | 0.62 |
| 2015/16 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | RW | 33 | 2639 | 86% | 3 | 6 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 1410 | 1466 | 0.64 |
| 2014/15 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | RW | 30 | 2505 | 82% | 2 | 3 | 0.18 | 0.26 | 1420 | 1392 | 0.72 |
| 2013/14 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | RW | 27 | 922 | 30% | 2 | 0 | 0.20 | 0.37 | 1477 | 1404 | 0.78 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Basaksehir FK | 3 | 212 | 1 | 1 | 1328 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Basaksehir FK | 6 | 502 | 2 | 0 | 1216 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Basaksehir FK | 4 | 206 | 0 | 1 | 1325 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Konyaspor | 6 | 453 | 0 | 0 | 1479 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Konyaspor | 6 | 433 | 0 | 1 | 1543 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alkis Dimitris Super League 1 · 2015 | 35 | €150k | €100k | fell |
| Michael Smith Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 35 | €350k | €350k | flat |
| Yohan Benalouane Super League 1 · 2021 | 34 | €400k | €125k | fell |
| Vitaliy Gavrysh Premier Liga · 2021 | 35 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Jesper Juelsgaard Superliga · 2021 | 32 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Pavlo Pashayev Premier Liga · 2021 | 33 | €300k | €75k | fell |
| Nick Viergever Eredivisie · 2024 | 35 | €450k | €300k | fell |
| Simon Poulsen Superliga · 2019 | 35 | €250k | €250k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 2021 | Konyaspor | Basaksehir | €1.0M | €1.7M |
| 31 Aug 2012 | A. Selcukluspor | Konyaspor | Free / loan | €300k |
| 24 Nov 2008 | A. Selcuk Yth | Konya Sekerspor | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.