Ömer Ali Şahiner

34 yrs · Right-back (also AM, RW) · Türkiye
Basaksehir FK · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 175 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€200k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€42k – €214k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€218k – €742k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€56k – €207k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€4k – €700k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€42k – €214k
Model value (performance-implied)€218k – €742k
Projected value (24 months)€56k – €207k
Dashed line: current market value (€200k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Ömer Ali Şahiner's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAverage41.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable34.5 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €106k vs market €200k
Expected appreciationLow-22% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €5.3M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1842 (60% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.10
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.11
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
41 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1357
Opponent strength
1273
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€56k – €207k

Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+71 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -67% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
50 (DEF)
Relative output kept
68%–191%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
54%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Basaksehir FKSuper LigRB26184260%200.100.11127313570.40
2024/25Basaksehir FKSuper LigRB22147546%110.120.09130112860.39
2023/24Basaksehir FKSuper LigRB22119635%010.080.10128713970.45
2022/23Basaksehir FKSuper LigRB27194960%110.090.08127913950.50
2021/22Basaksehir FKSuper LigRB22112133%010.080.08123413720.42
2020/21Basaksehir FKSuper LigRB16120934%200.150.14126012660.37
2020/21KonyasporSuper LigAM1289525%010.100.29125112250.37
2019/20KonyasporSuper LigRW30252983%420.210.34134712260.45
2018/19KonyasporSuper LigRW27218872%840.490.51138313330.58
2017/18KonyasporSuper LigRW31235277%520.270.33139513450.68
2016/17KonyasporSuper LigRW31241079%540.340.32137713340.62
2015/16KonyasporSuper LigRW33263986%360.310.32141014660.64
2014/15KonyasporSuper LigRW30250582%230.180.26142013920.72
2013/14KonyasporSuper LigRW2792230%200.200.37147714040.78

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingBasaksehir FK3212111328
2024/25Uefa Conference League QualifyingBasaksehir FK6502201216
2022/23Uefa Conference League QualifyingBasaksehir FK4206011325
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueKonyaspor6453001479
2016/17Uefa Europa LeagueKonyaspor6433011543

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Alkis Dimitris
Super League 1 · 2015
35€150k€100kfell
Michael Smith
Scottish Premiership · 2023
35€350k€350kflat
Yohan Benalouane
Super League 1 · 2021
34€400k€125kfell
Vitaliy Gavrysh
Premier Liga · 2021
35€100k€100kflat
Jesper Juelsgaard
Superliga · 2021
32€300k€100kfell
Pavlo Pashayev
Premier Liga · 2021
33€300k€75kfell
Nick Viergever
Eredivisie · 2024
35€450k€300kfell
Simon Poulsen
Superliga · 2019
35€250k€250kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
26 Jan 2021KonyasporBasaksehir€1.0M€1.7M
31 Aug 2012A. SelcuklusporKonyasporFree / loan€300k
24 Nov 2008A. Selcuk YthKonya SekersporUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.