Ángel Pérez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ángel Pérez's performance-implied value at EUR 1.5M-5.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.0M-6.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.7M-5.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.08x the positional average in the league (1291 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 34
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 42.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €3.4M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +1% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1291 (38% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.28
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.43
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 42 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1410
- Opponent strength
- 1497
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.7M – €5.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +6% (IQR -35% to +29%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1291 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Deportivo Alavés | Laliga | RW | 16 | 1291 | 38% | 1 | 3 | 0.28 | 0.43 | 1497 | 1410 | 0.95 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | SD Huesca | 3 | 118 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Deportivo Alavés | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raúl García Laliga · 2024 | 24 | €4.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Alberto Paloschi Serie A · 2013 | 23 | €5.0M | €6.0M | rose |
| Daniel Ginczek Bundesliga · 2014 | 23 | €2.5M | €4.0M | rose |
| Janni Serra Bundesliga · 2022 | 24 | €1.8M | €750k | fell |
| Anthony Mounier Ligue 1 · 2013 | 26 | €4.0M | €4.5M | flat |
| Lass Bangoura Laliga · 2016 | 24 | €2.0M | €800k | fell |
| Edin Visca Super Lig · 2013 | 23 | €2.5M | €5.5M | rose |
| Giovanni Sio Ligue 1 · 2013 | 24 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan 2026 | SD Huesca | Alavés | €1.0M | €600k |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Rayo Cantabria | SD Huesca | Free / loan | €400k |
| 24 Jul 2024 | SD Huesca | Rayo Cantabria | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | SD Huesca B | SD Huesca | Unknown | €150k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Utebo FC | SD Huesca B | Free / loan | €150k |
| 5 Jul 2023 | SD Huesca B | Utebo FC | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2022 | CD Cuarte | SD Huesca B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Montecarlo U19 | CD Cuarte | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.