Artem Gusol
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Artem Gusol's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-2.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.39x the positional average in the league (1236 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 57
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 5.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 20.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €741k vs market €700k |
| Expected appreciation | High | +13% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 21% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1236 (46% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.15
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 6 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1200
- Opponent strength
- 1126
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 21%
- Resale range (24m)
- €376k – €2.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -27% (IQR -38% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1236 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 18 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 94%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | RW | 24 | 1236 | 46% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1126 | 1200 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | RW | 13 | 408 | 15% | 1 | 0 | 0.22 | 0.52 | 1262 | 1186 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | RW | 5 | 25 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.53 | 1309 | 1143 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | LW | 4 | 22 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.67 | 1420 | 1191 | 0.38 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 46 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgios Masouras Super League 1 · 2016 | 22 | €400k | €750k | rose |
| Danny Handling Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 20 | €200k | €150k | fell |
| Dmytro Topalov Premier Liga · 2024 | 26 | €700k | €500k | fell |
| Frixos Grivas Super League 1 · 2021 | 21 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Kosmas Tsilianidis Super League 1 · 2017 | 23 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Tobias Klysner Superliga · 2022 | 21 | €700k | €450k | fell |
| Kirill Kolesnichenko Premier Liga · 2022 | 22 | €450k | €250k | fell |
| Tony Watt Scottish Premiership · 2017 | 24 | €750k | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Kolos U19 | Kolos Kovalivka | Unknown | €50k |
| 20 Sept 2022 | Camisano | Kolos U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 20 Apr 2022 | Kolos U17 | Camisano | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2021 | FA Arsenal Kyiv | Kolos U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.