Rémy Cabella
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Rémy Cabella's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.07x the positional average in the league (833 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Above average | 60.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 36.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €451k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -36% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 833 (27% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.32
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.51
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 61 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1382
- Opponent strength
- 1476
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €440k – €1.1M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-212 Elo); league level down (-60 Elo); relative output up 59% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -63% to -30%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 833 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 36: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | AM | 11 | 569 | 19% | 2 | 0 | 0.32 | 0.51 | 1476 | 1304 | 0.88 |
| 2025/26 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | AM | 7 | 264 | 11% | 0 | 1 | 0.34 | 0.27 | 1274 | 1550 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | AM | 23 | 1008 | 33% | 1 | 3 | 0.36 | 0.27 | 1368 | 1594 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | AM | 30 | 1470 | 48% | 2 | 2 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 1459 | 1552 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | AM | 32 | 2535 | 74% | 7 | 10 | 0.60 | 0.42 | 1420 | 1555 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | FK Krasnodar | Premier Liga | RW | 16 | 1308 | 48% | 4 | 6 | 0.69 | 0.59 | 1350 | 1371 | 0.52 |
| 2021/22 | Montpellier HSC | Ligue 1 | AM | 5 | 313 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 1415 | 1366 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | FK Krasnodar | Premier Liga | AM | 24 | 1559 | 58% | 8 | 2 | 0.58 | 0.43 | 1327 | 1357 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | FK Krasnodar | Premier Liga | AM | 9 | 360 | 13% | 2 | 1 | 0.75 | 0.43 | 1396 | 1465 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | AS Saint-Étienne | Ligue 1 | AM | 34 | 3000 | 88% | 8 | 4 | 0.36 | 0.33 | 1444 | 1519 | 0.82 |
| 2017/18 | AS Saint-Étienne | Ligue 1 | AM | 26 | 2261 | 66% | 7 | 6 | 0.52 | 0.46 | 1430 | 1468 | 0.85 |
| 2017/18 | Olympique Marseille | Ligue 1 | AM | 3 | 62 | 2% | 1 | 0 | 1.45 | 0.52 | 1639 | 1601 | 0.85 |
| 2016/17 | Olympique Marseille | Ligue 1 | AM | 29 | 1570 | 46% | 2 | 4 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 1409 | 1541 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | Olympique Marseille | Ligue 1 | AM | 34 | 2562 | 75% | 5 | 3 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 1441 | 1458 | 0.78 |
| 2014/15 | Newcastle United | Premier League | RW | 31 | 1947 | 57% | 1 | 2 | 0.14 | 0.29 | 1548 | 1404 | 1.06 |
| 2013/14 | Montpellier HSC | Ligue 1 | AM | 37 | 3206 | 94% | 14 | 7 | 0.59 | 0.62 | 1479 | 1372 | 0.79 |
| 2012/13 | Montpellier HSC | Ligue 1 | AM | 31 | 2324 | 68% | 7 | 7 | 0.54 | 0.52 | 1459 | 1431 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 3 | 164 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | LOSC Lille | 7 | 388 | 1 | 1 | 1679 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | LOSC Lille | 4 | 330 | 0 | 0 | 1600 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | LOSC Lille | 2 | 205 | 0 | 0 | 1518 |
| 2021/22 | Russian Cup | FK Krasnodar | 2 | 141 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | FK Krasnodar | 3 | 255 | 1 | 0 | 1634 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | FK Krasnodar | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1636 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FK Krasnodar | 2 | 166 | 2 | 1 | 1519 |
| 2020/21 | Russian Cup | FK Krasnodar | 1 | 27 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FK Krasnodar | 3 | 196 | 0 | 0 | 1668 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Olympique Marseille | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1391 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League | Olympique Marseille | 6 | 421 | 0 | 0 | 1479 |
| 2014/15 | Fa Cup | Newcastle United | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Champions League | Montpellier HSC | 6 | 473 | 0 | 1 | 1579 |
| 2012/13 | Trophee Des Champions | Montpellier HSC | 1 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1449 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yohan Cabaye Ligue 1 · 2020 | 34 | €800k | €500k | fell |
| Carlos Martins Liga Portugal · 2015 | 33 | €800k | €500k | fell |
| Valon Behrami Serie A · 2019 | 34 | €1.0M | €400k | fell |
| Renaud Cohade Ligue 1 · 2020 | 36 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Óscar Scarione Super Lig · 2018 | 33 | €1.0M | €100k | fell |
| Jonathan Delaplace Ligue 1 · 2021 | 35 | €325k | €325k | flat |
| Franco Brienza Serie A · 2013 | 34 | €800k | €300k | fell |
| Enzo Maresca Serie A · 2013 | 33 | €800k | €300k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | FC Nantes | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Olympiacos | FC Nantes | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2025 | Lille | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 10 Jul 2022 | Montpellier | Lille | Free / loan | €6.5M |
| 6 Apr 2022 | Krasnodar | Montpellier | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 26 Jul 2019 | Saint-Étienne | Krasnodar | €12.0M | €14.0M |
| 16 Aug 2018 | Marseille | Saint-Étienne | €6.0M | €9.0M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Saint-Étienne | Marseille | Free / loan | €9.0M |
| 31 Aug 2017 | Marseille | Saint-Étienne | Free / loan | €7.5M |
| 5 Jul 2016 | Newcastle | Marseille | €8.0M | €8.0M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Marseille | Newcastle | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 19 Aug 2015 | Newcastle | Marseille | Free / loan | €9.0M |
| 13 Jul 2014 | Montpellier | Newcastle | €10.0M | €10.0M |
| 30 Jun 2011 | AC Arles-Avignon | Montpellier | Free / loan | €400k |
| 12 Jul 2010 | Montpellier | AC Arles-Avignon | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Montpellier B | Montpellier | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Montpellier U19 | Montpellier B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2007 | Montpellier U17 | Montpellier U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2005 | Montpellier For | Montpellier U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2004 | GFC Ajaccio Jgd | Montpellier For | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.