Abdoulaye Faye
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Abdoulaye Faye's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-9.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.0M-7.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.6M-12.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 57
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 42.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €5.4M vs market €4.5M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +27% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 28% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1446 (47% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.04
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 42 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1420
- Opponent strength
- 1503
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 28%
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.6M – €12.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -45% (IQR -51% to -18%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1446 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Lorient | Ligue 1 | CB | 17 | 1446 | 47% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1503 | 1420 | 0.88 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Estève Ligue 1 · 2023 | 21 | €7.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| David Zima Serie A · 2022 | 22 | €7.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Filippo Romagna Serie A · 2020 | 23 | €4.8M | €1.5M | fell |
| Sofiane Alakouch Ligue 1 · 2020 | 22 | €3.2M | €1.5M | fell |
| Harold Moukoudi Ligue 1 · 2020 | 23 | €3.2M | €4.0M | rose |
| Vukasin Jovanovic Ligue 1 · 2019 | 23 | €3.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Mattia Viti Serie A · 2022 | 20 | €7.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Danilo Barbosa Ligue 1 · 2020 | 24 | €6.5M | €3.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | FC Lorient | Leverkusen | Free / loan | €4.5M |
| 29 Jul 2025 | Leverkusen | FC Lorient | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2025 | Häcken | Leverkusen | €2.7M | €2.0M |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Örgryte | Häcken | Free / loan | €500k |
| 27 Mar 2024 | Häcken | Örgryte | Free / loan | €125k |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Diambars FC | Häcken | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.