Odysseas Vlachodimos
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Odysseas Vlachodimos's performance-implied value at EUR 1.3M-4.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-2.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-2.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 37
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 72.2th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.3M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -55% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2970 (87% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 72 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1397
- Opponent strength
- 1496
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €955k – €2.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -68% (IQR -72% to -64%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | GK | 33 | 2970 | 87% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1496 | 1397 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League | GK | 5 | 450 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1587 | 1428 | 1.14 |
| 2023/24 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | GK | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1351 | 1603 | 0.58 |
| 2022/23 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | GK | 34 | 3058 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1372 | 1718 | 0.68 |
| 2021/22 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | GK | 32 | 2837 | 93% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1355 | 1656 | 0.67 |
| 2020/21 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | GK | 18 | 1620 | 53% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1344 | 1619 | 0.61 |
| 2019/20 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | GK | 33 | 2970 | 97% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1368 | 1583 | 0.59 |
| 2018/19 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | GK | 34 | 3056 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1355 | 1683 | 0.65 |
| 2017/18 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | GK | 25 | 2250 | 83% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1273 | 1349 | 0.48 |
| 2016/17 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | GK | 21 | 1890 | 70% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1283 | 1406 | 0.44 |
| 2015/16 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | GK | 3 | 202 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1438 | 1379 | 1.02 |
| 2015/16 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | GK | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1216 | 1424 | 0.46 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Nottingham Forest | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Supercup Candido De Oliveira | SL Benfica | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1744 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | SL Benfica | 10 | 900 | 0 | 0 | 1597 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | SL Benfica | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1478 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | SL Benfica | 10 | 900 | 0 | 0 | 1775 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | SL Benfica | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1534 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | SL Benfica | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1515 |
| 2020/21 | Supercup Candido De Oliveira | SL Benfica | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1660 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | SL Benfica | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1525 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | SL Benfica | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1607 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | SL Benfica | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1636 |
| 2019/20 | Supercup Candido De Oliveira | SL Benfica | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1634 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | SL Benfica | 6 | 570 | 0 | 0 | 1576 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | SL Benfica | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1675 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | SL Benfica | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1570 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1459 |
| 2017/18 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Mirante Serie A · 2016 | 33 | €3.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Conan Ledesma Laliga · 2024 | 31 | €5.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Jiri Pavlenka Bundesliga · 2023 | 31 | €3.0M | €900k | fell |
| Orestis Karnezis Serie A · 2017 | 32 | €4.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Frederik Rönnow Bundesliga · 2024 | 32 | €4.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Benjamin Lecomte Ligue 1 · 2024 | 33 | €3.5M | €800k | fell |
| Marco Silvestri Serie A · 2022 | 31 | €5.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Fernando Martínez Laliga · 2023 | 33 | €2.0M | €700k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Sevilla FC | Newcastle | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 12 Aug 2025 | Newcastle | Sevilla FC | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Nott'm Forest | Newcastle | €23.6M | €7.0M |
| 1 Sept 2023 | Benfica | Nott'm Forest | €4.9M | €16.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Panathinaikos | Benfica | €2.4M | €2.5M |
| 26 Jan 2016 | Stuttgart | Panathinaikos | Free / loan | €450k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Stuttgart II | Stuttgart | Unknown | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Stuttgart U19 | Stuttgart II | Unknown | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Stuttgart U17 | Stuttgart U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Stuttgart Yth. | Stuttgart U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2002 | VfL Wangen Yth. | Stuttgart Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.