Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta

33 yrs · Central midfielder · Spain
Athletic Bilbao · Laliga · Foot: right · Height: 175 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€2.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€512k – €1.6M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.6M – €3.2M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€472k – €1.4M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€18k – €2.6M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€512k – €1.6M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.6M – €3.2M
Projected value (24 months)€472k – €1.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta's performance-implied value at EUR 1.6M-3.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.66x the positional average in the league (2231 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 48

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh79.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable32.9 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €683k vs market €2.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-51% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €5.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2231 (65% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.12
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.14
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
80 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1451
Opponent strength
1468
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€472k – €1.4M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 22 pts; team strength down (-128 Elo); relative output down 35% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -67% to -48%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Athletic BilbaoLaligaCM34223165%120.120.14146814510.95
2024/25Athletic BilbaoLaligaCM26148844%040.240.21149315780.95
2023/24Athletic BilbaoLaligaCM29210562%110.090.13148215831.00
2022/23RCD MallorcaLaligaCM30245772%010.040.11151114300.98
2021/22RCD MallorcaLaligaCM22138841%000.000.12151713781.05
2012/13Athletic BilbaoLaligaCM31424%010.630.30151014771.06

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueAthletic Bilbao7319001665
2025/26Copa Del ReyAthletic Bilbao415801—
2025/26SupercopaAthletic Bilbao136001800
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueAthletic Bilbao13891001560
2024/25Copa Del ReyAthletic Bilbao16900—
2023/24Copa Del ReyAthletic Bilbao631401—
2022/23Copa Del ReyRCD Mallorca218100—
2021/22Copa Del ReyRCD Mallorca421201—
2012/13Uefa Europa League QualifyingAthletic Bilbao4178001351
2012/13Uefa Europa LeagueAthletic Bilbao19001372

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Carlos Sánchez
Serie A · 2017
31€3.0M€1.5Mfell
Cristian Molinaro
Serie A · 2016
33€900k€300kfell
Aaron Hunt
Bundesliga · 2018
32€1.5M€600kfell
Pavel Kaderabek
Bundesliga · 2023
31€3.0M€1.7Mfell
Danny Latza
Bundesliga · 2021
32€1.5M€500kfell
Phillipp Mwene
Bundesliga · 2024
30€1.8M€1.5Mflat
Tomás Pina
Laliga · 2021
34€1.2M€250kfell
Thomas Delaine
Ligue 1 · 2024
32€1.0M€500kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2023RCD MallorcaAthletic ClubFree / loan€3.0M
21 Jul 2020UD Las PalmasRCD MallorcaFree / loan€1.6M
2 Sept 2019RCD MallorcaUD Las PalmasFree / loan€2.0M
1 Sept 2019UD Las PalmasRCD MallorcaUnknown€2.0M
7 Aug 2018Barcelona BUD Las Palmas€500k€800k
17 Jul 2017CD NumanciaBarcelona B€700k€800k
12 Jul 2016Athletic ClubCD NumanciaFree / loan€500k
30 Jun 2016CD LeganésAthletic ClubFree / loan€500k
11 Aug 2015Athletic ClubCD LeganésFree / loan€800k
30 Jun 2015Real ZaragozaAthletic ClubFree / loan€800k
12 Aug 2014Athletic ClubReal ZaragozaFree / loan€800k
30 Jun 2014CD MirandésAthletic ClubFree / loan€800k
6 Aug 2013Athletic ClubCD MirandésFree / loan€1.0M
18 Mar 2013Bilbao AthleticAthletic ClubUnknown€1.0M
1 Jul 2011Bilbao U19Bilbao AthleticUnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2010Bilbao U18Bilbao U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2009Bilbao YouthBilbao U18UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.