
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta's performance-implied value at EUR 1.6M-3.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.66x the positional average in the league (2231 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 48
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 79.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €683k vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -51% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2231 (65% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.12
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.14
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 80 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1451
- Opponent strength
- 1468
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €472k – €1.4M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 22 pts; team strength down (-128 Elo); relative output down 35% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -67% to -48%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Athletic Bilbao | Laliga | CM | 34 | 2231 | 65% | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 1468 | 1451 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Athletic Bilbao | Laliga | CM | 26 | 1488 | 44% | 0 | 4 | 0.24 | 0.21 | 1493 | 1578 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Athletic Bilbao | Laliga | CM | 29 | 2105 | 62% | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 1482 | 1583 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | RCD Mallorca | Laliga | CM | 30 | 2457 | 72% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.11 | 1511 | 1430 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | RCD Mallorca | Laliga | CM | 22 | 1388 | 41% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1517 | 1378 | 1.05 |
| 2012/13 | Athletic Bilbao | Laliga | CM | 3 | 142 | 4% | 0 | 1 | 0.63 | 0.30 | 1510 | 1477 | 1.06 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Athletic Bilbao | 7 | 319 | 0 | 0 | 1665 |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Athletic Bilbao | 4 | 158 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Supercopa | Athletic Bilbao | 1 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1800 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 891 | 0 | 0 | 1560 |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Athletic Bilbao | 1 | 69 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Athletic Bilbao | 6 | 314 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Mallorca | 2 | 181 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Mallorca | 4 | 212 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Athletic Bilbao | 4 | 178 | 0 | 0 | 1351 |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Europa League | Athletic Bilbao | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1372 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Sánchez Serie A · 2017 | 31 | €3.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Cristian Molinaro Serie A · 2016 | 33 | €900k | €300k | fell |
| Aaron Hunt Bundesliga · 2018 | 32 | €1.5M | €600k | fell |
| Pavel Kaderabek Bundesliga · 2023 | 31 | €3.0M | €1.7M | fell |
| Danny Latza Bundesliga · 2021 | 32 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
| Phillipp Mwene Bundesliga · 2024 | 30 | €1.8M | €1.5M | flat |
| Tomás Pina Laliga · 2021 | 34 | €1.2M | €250k | fell |
| Thomas Delaine Ligue 1 · 2024 | 32 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | RCD Mallorca | Athletic Club | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 21 Jul 2020 | UD Las Palmas | RCD Mallorca | Free / loan | €1.6M |
| 2 Sept 2019 | RCD Mallorca | UD Las Palmas | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Sept 2019 | UD Las Palmas | RCD Mallorca | Unknown | €2.0M |
| 7 Aug 2018 | Barcelona B | UD Las Palmas | €500k | €800k |
| 17 Jul 2017 | CD Numancia | Barcelona B | €700k | €800k |
| 12 Jul 2016 | Athletic Club | CD Numancia | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | CD Leganés | Athletic Club | Free / loan | €500k |
| 11 Aug 2015 | Athletic Club | CD Leganés | Free / loan | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2015 | Real Zaragoza | Athletic Club | Free / loan | €800k |
| 12 Aug 2014 | Athletic Club | Real Zaragoza | Free / loan | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2014 | CD Mirandés | Athletic Club | Free / loan | €800k |
| 6 Aug 2013 | Athletic Club | CD Mirandés | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 18 Mar 2013 | Bilbao Athletic | Athletic Club | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Bilbao U19 | Bilbao Athletic | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2010 | Bilbao U18 | Bilbao U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Bilbao Youth | Bilbao U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.