Petros Mantalos

The model rates Petros Mantalos's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.78x the positional average in the league (1175 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1175 (50% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.54

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.31

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

69 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.42 (rank 16)

Team strength (Elo)

1512

Opponent strength

1194

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€184k – €502k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 22 pts; team strength up (+61 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -52% (IQR -62% to -39%).

• ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Limited sample: 1175 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

14 (MID)

Relative output kept

67%–189%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

64%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.