Sverrir Ingi Ingason
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Sverrir Ingi Ingason's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-2.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 5
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 61.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.1M vs market €1.8M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -65% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 904 (39% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 62 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1465
- Opponent strength
- 1207
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €413k – €1.0M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 46 pts; team strength up (+64 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo); relative output down 30% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -71% (IQR -76% to -54%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 904 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | CB | 12 | 904 | 39% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1207 | 1465 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | CB | 22 | 1980 | 85% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 1274 | 1402 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | CB | 15 | 1281 | 65% | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 1273 | 1449 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CB | 24 | 2160 | 92% | 2 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 1240 | 1452 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CB | 12 | 923 | 39% | 2 | 0 | 0.20 | 0.09 | 1236 | 1453 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CB | 21 | 1890 | 81% | 5 | 1 | 0.29 | 0.14 | 1271 | 1428 | 0.39 |
| 2019/20 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CB | 21 | 1852 | 79% | 4 | 1 | 0.24 | 0.12 | 1285 | 1512 | 0.46 |
| 2018/19 | FK Rostov | Premier Liga | CB | 17 | 1530 | 57% | 2 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 1418 | 1402 | 0.69 |
| 2018/19 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CB | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1204 | 1552 | 0.43 |
| 2017/18 | FK Rostov | Premier Liga | CB | 28 | 2475 | 92% | 3 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 1408 | 1447 | 0.75 |
| 2016/17 | KSC Lokeren (- 2020) | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 21 | 1793 | 66% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1335 | 1309 | 0.62 |
| 2016/17 | Granada CF | Laliga | CB | 17 | 1473 | 43% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 1547 | 1324 | 1.11 |
| 2015/16 | KSC Lokeren (- 2020) | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 26 | 2289 | 85% | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 1342 | 1331 | 0.57 |
| 2014/15 | KSC Lokeren (- 2020) | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 6 | 540 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1326 | 1382 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 10 | 930 | 0 | 0 | 1509 |
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 4 | 301 | 0 | 0 | 1453 |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 169 | 0 | 0 | 1531 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Midtjylland | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | 1369 |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1301 |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 7 | 660 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 5 | 450 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1532 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1478 |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 6 | 522 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 5 | 391 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Russian Cup | FK Rostov | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Russian Cup | FK Rostov | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Bjelland Superliga · 2020 | 32 | €1.2M | €300k | fell |
| Jens Stryger Super Lig · 2024 | 33 | €1.2M | €400k | fell |
| Yevgen Cheberyachko Premier Liga · 2015 | 32 | €1.5M | €300k | fell |
| Samet Akaydin Super Lig · 2024 | 30 | €2.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Bart Schenkeveld Super League 1 · 2022 | 31 | €1.0M | €1.2M | rose |
| Ehsan Hajsafi Super League 1 · 2024 | 34 | €600k | €275k | fell |
| Miha Mevlja Super Lig · 2022 | 32 | €1.0M | €250k | fell |
| Ragnar Sigurdsson Premier Liga · 2020 | 34 | €2.2M | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2024 | Midtjylland | Panathinaikos | €3.1M | €4.0M |
| 7 Jul 2023 | PAOK | Midtjylland | €4.0M | €4.0M |
| 31 Jan 2019 | Rostov | PAOK | €4.0M | €4.5M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Granada CF | Rostov | €2.0M | €1.2M |
| 19 Jan 2017 | KSC Lokeren | Granada CF | €1.8M | €1.0M |
| 2 Feb 2015 | Viking FK | KSC Lokeren | Unknown | €700k |
| 1 Jan 2014 | Breidablik | Viking FK | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jan 2010 | Breidablik U19 | Breidablik | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.