Nicky Devlin

The model rates Nicky Devlin's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

2030 (68% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.04

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.06

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

18 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.31 (rank 26)

Team strength (Elo)

1119

Opponent strength

1211

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€75k – €195k

Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-67 Elo); role change RB -> CB; relative output down 28% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -13% (IQR -58% to +0%).

• ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Contract ends in 11 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

16 (DEF)

Relative output kept

90%–275%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

75%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.