
Remo Freuler
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Remo Freuler's performance-implied value at EUR 1.3M-6.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.1M-3.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.03x the positional average in the league (2217 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Elite | 92.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 34.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.1M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -61% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2217 (65% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.12
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 93 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1523
- Opponent strength
- 1493
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €866k – €2.0M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 29 pts; relative output up 72% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -63% (IQR -72% to -50%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | DM | 29 | 2217 | 65% | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 1493 | 1523 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | DM | 37 | 3214 | 94% | 1 | 2 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 1492 | 1559 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | DM | 32 | 2632 | 77% | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1485 | 1579 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League | DM | 28 | 2165 | 63% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1578 | 1433 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CM | 29 | 2377 | 70% | 1 | 3 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 1490 | 1566 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CM | 34 | 2721 | 80% | 2 | 3 | 0.17 | 0.11 | 1455 | 1673 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CM | 31 | 2344 | 69% | 2 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 1440 | 1666 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CM | 35 | 3033 | 89% | 2 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 1444 | 1570 | 0.78 |
| 2017/18 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CM | 35 | 3007 | 88% | 5 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.18 | 1460 | 1556 | 0.86 |
| 2016/17 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CM | 33 | 2609 | 76% | 5 | 4 | 0.31 | 0.28 | 1484 | 1539 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CM | 6 | 451 | 13% | 1 | 0 | 0.20 | 0.27 | 1491 | 1411 | 0.95 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 10 | 862 | 0 | 0 | 1530 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Switzerland | 3 | 269 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 7 | 506 | 0 | 0 | 1621 |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 5 | 405 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 2 | 146 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 6 | 528 | 1 | 1 | 1643 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Atalanta BC | 6 | 443 | 0 | 0 | 1628 |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 7 | 525 | 0 | 1 | 1682 |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 5 | 435 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 8 | 669 | 1 | 0 | 1721 |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Atalanta BC | 5 | 429 | 0 | 2 | 1417 |
| 2018/19 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 4 | 328 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Atalanta BC | 8 | 720 | 1 | 1 | 1537 |
| 2017/18 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 3 | 267 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 2 | 151 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian Ledesma Serie A · 2014 | 32 | €5.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Marco Parolo Serie A · 2018 | 33 | €5.0M | €1.6M | fell |
| Daniel Baier Bundesliga · 2016 | 32 | €3.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Dani Parejo Laliga · 2024 | 35 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Jordan Ferri Ligue 1 · 2024 | 32 | €4.5M | €500k | fell |
| Makoto Hasebe Bundesliga · 2017 | 33 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Gareth Barry Premier League · 2017 | 36 | €1.5M | €750k | fell |
| Darren Fletcher Premier League · 2018 | 34 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Nott'm Forest | Bologna | €1.9M | €6.5M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Bologna | Nott'm Forest | Free / loan | €6.5M |
| 1 Sept 2023 | Nott'm Forest | Bologna | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 14 Aug 2022 | Atalanta | Nott'm Forest | €8.3M | €20.0M |
| 19 Jan 2016 | FC Luzern | Atalanta | €3.5M | €2.0M |
| 18 Feb 2014 | FC Winterthur | FC Luzern | Unknown | €450k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Grasshoppers | FC Winterthur | Unknown | €250k |
| 30 Jun 2013 | FC Winterthur | Grasshoppers | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Feb 2012 | Grasshoppers | FC Winterthur | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2011 | GC Zürich U21 | Grasshoppers | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Winterthur U21 | GC Zürich U21 | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Winterthur U18 | Winterthur U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2007 | Winterthur Yth. | Winterthur U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.