Remo Freuler

34 yrs · Central midfielder (also DM) · Switzerland
Bologna Football Club 1909 · Serie A · Foot: right · Height: 181 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€3.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.1M – €3.8M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.3M – €6.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€866k – €2.0M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€2.6M – €5.2M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.1M – €3.8M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.3M – €6.3M
Projected value (24 months)€866k – €2.0M
Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Remo Freuler's performance-implied value at EUR 1.3M-6.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.1M-3.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.03x the positional average in the league (2217 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceElite92.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable34.2 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €2.1M vs market €3.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-61% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €25.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2217 (65% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.12
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.13
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
93 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 4)
Team strength (Elo)
1523
Opponent strength
1493
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€866k – €2.0M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 29 pts; relative output up 72% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -63% (IQR -72% to -50%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Bologna Football Club 1909Serie ADM29221765%120.120.13149315230.93
2024/25Bologna Football Club 1909Serie ADM37321494%120.080.08149215590.99
2023/24Bologna Football Club 1909Serie ADM32263277%110.070.07148515790.98
2022/23Nottingham ForestPremier LeagueDM28216563%000.000.05157814331.23
2021/22Atalanta BCSerie ACM29237770%130.150.11149015660.89
2020/21Atalanta BCSerie ACM34272180%230.170.11145516730.90
2019/20Atalanta BCSerie ACM31234469%220.150.11144016660.82
2018/19Atalanta BCSerie ACM35303389%220.120.12144415700.78
2017/18Atalanta BCSerie ACM35300788%520.210.18146015560.86
2016/17Atalanta BCSerie ACM33260976%540.310.28148415390.88
2015/16Atalanta BCSerie ACM645113%100.200.27149114110.95

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueBologna Football Club 190910862001530
2025/26World CupSwitzerland326901—
2025/26Italy CupBologna Football Club 190912900—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueBologna Football Club 19097506001621
2024/25Italy CupBologna Football Club 1909540500—
2023/24Italy CupBologna Football Club 1909214600—
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueAtalanta BC6528111643
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueAtalanta BC6443001628
2021/22Italy CupAtalanta BC218002—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueAtalanta BC7525011682
2020/21Italy CupAtalanta BC543500—
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueAtalanta BC8669101721
2019/20Italy CupAtalanta BC14500—
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingAtalanta BC5429021417
2018/19Italy CupAtalanta BC432800—
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueAtalanta BC8720111537
2017/18Italy CupAtalanta BC326700—
2016/17Italy CupAtalanta BC215100—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Cristian Ledesma
Serie A · 2014
32€5.5M€1.0Mfell
Marco Parolo
Serie A · 2018
33€5.0M€1.6Mfell
Daniel Baier
Bundesliga · 2016
32€3.0M€1.0Mfell
Dani Parejo
Laliga · 2024
35€2.5M€1.0Mfell
Jordan Ferri
Ligue 1 · 2024
32€4.5M€500kfell
Makoto Hasebe
Bundesliga · 2017
33€1.5M€1.0Mfell
Gareth Barry
Premier League · 2017
36€1.5M€750kfell
Darren Fletcher
Premier League · 2018
34€2.0M€1.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2024Nott'm ForestBologna€1.9M€6.5M
30 Jun 2024BolognaNott'm ForestFree / loan€6.5M
1 Sept 2023Nott'm ForestBolognaFree / loan€8.0M
14 Aug 2022AtalantaNott'm Forest€8.3M€20.0M
19 Jan 2016FC LuzernAtalanta€3.5M€2.0M
18 Feb 2014FC WinterthurFC LuzernUnknown€450k
1 Jul 2013GrasshoppersFC WinterthurUnknown€250k
30 Jun 2013FC WinterthurGrasshoppersFree / loan€250k
1 Feb 2012GrasshoppersFC WinterthurFree / loan€50k
1 Jul 2011GC Zürich U21GrasshoppersUnknown€50k
1 Jul 2010Winterthur U21GC Zürich U21Unknown€50k
1 Jul 2009Winterthur U18Winterthur U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2007Winterthur Yth.Winterthur U18UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.