Casper Nielsen

The model rates Casper Nielsen's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.40x the positional average in the league (1257 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1257 (47% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.29

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.31

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

40 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.65 (rank 6)

Team strength (Elo)

1341

Opponent strength

1388

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€391k – €1.0M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 28 pts; changed club; team strength down (-211 Elo); relative output up 121% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -58% (IQR -78% to -17%).

• ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Limited sample: 1257 league minutes last season.
• ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

60 (MID)

Relative output kept

63%–142%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

72%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.