Igor Akinfeev

The model rates Igor Akinfeev's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1681 (62% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.00

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.00

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

65 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.56 (rank 10)

Team strength (Elo)

1436

Opponent strength

1337

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€378k – €898k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 31 pts.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -69% (IQR -76% to -49%).

• ▲Age 40: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Limited sample: 1681 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
• ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
• ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

63 (all positions)

Relative output kept

61%–143%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

60%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.