Andriy Tsurikov

34 yrs · Left-back (also LM) · Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka · Premier Liga · Foot: left · Height: 185 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€200k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€51k – €172k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€205k – €744k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€38k – €202k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€32k – €693k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€51k – €172k
Model value (performance-implied)€205k – €744k
Projected value (24 months)€38k – €202k
Dashed line: current market value (€200k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Andriy Tsurikov's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAverage39.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable33.7 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €68k vs market €200k
Expected appreciationVery low-34% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €800k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2418 (90% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.19
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.18
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
39 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1200
Opponent strength
1153
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€38k – €202k

Trajectory drivers: relative output down 44% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -64% to -31%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
  • ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
11 (DEF)
Relative output kept
108%–176%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
82%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Kolos KovalivkaPremier LigaLB28241890%230.190.18115312000.25
2024/25Kolos KovalivkaPremier LigaLB28252093%520.250.30121011860.28
2023/24Kolos KovalivkaPremier LigaLB21174265%400.210.25128111430.34
2022/23FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaLB22172964%510.310.24125212840.38
2021/22FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaLB181620100%030.170.15131912970.45
2020/21SC Dnipro-1Premier LigaLM1988638%110.200.26131912830.49
2018/19FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaLB19155078%350.460.30134213840.57
2017/18FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaLM17128665%000.000.15138013180.62
2016/17FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaLB23207072%000.000.05137012930.56
2015/16Goverla Uzhgorod (- 2016)Premier LigaLB15135058%100.070.13135711250.54
2015/16APO Levadiakos Football ClubSuper League 1LB946017%000.000.13131012520.46
2014/15Metalurg Zaporizhya (-2016)Premier LigaLM748421%110.370.50138711250.54
2013/14Dynamo KyivPremier LigaLB31144%000.000.14142715090.63
2012/13Metalurg Zaporizhya (-2016)Premier LigaLB15114943%100.080.17141511560.70
2012/13Dynamo KyivPremier LigaLB31164%010.780.11121715650.70

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Ukrainian CupKolos Kovalivka19000—
2024/25Ukrainian CupKolos Kovalivka112000—
2023/24Ukrainian CupKolos Kovalivka17400—
2020/21Ukrainian CupSC Dnipro-127500—
2017/18Uefa Europa League QualifyingFC Oleksandriya4289011435
2017/18Ukrainian CupFC Oleksandriya15900—
2016/17Uefa Europa League QualifyingFC Oleksandriya190001416
2016/17Ukrainian CupFC Oleksandriya19000—
2015/16Kypello ElladasAPO Levadiakos Football Club19000—
2014/15Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv14500—
2013/14Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv18200—
2012/13Ukrainian CupMetalurg Zaporizhya (-2016)18700—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Vitaliy Yermakov
Premier Liga · 2024
32€250k€100kfell
Berkan Emir
Super Lig · 2021
33€400k€50kfell
Dmytro Nemchaninov
Premier Liga · 2023
33€200k€150kfell
Daniel Adejo
Super League 1 · 2021
32€300k€150kfell
Antonio Luna
Super League 1 · 2023
32€450k€300kfell
Savvas Tsabouris
Super League 1 · 2019
33€200k€150kfell
Georgios Kousas
Super League 1 · 2017
35€200k€50kfell
Igor Perduta
Premier Liga · 2024
34€250k€100kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2023FC OleksandriyaKolos KovalivkaFree / loan€600k
1 Jul 2022MetalistFC OleksandriyaFree / loan€500k
30 Jun 2022FC OleksandriyaMetalistFree / loan€500k
20 Jul 2021MetalistFC OleksandriyaFree / loan€400k
1 Jul 2021SC Dnipro-1MetalistFree / loan€400k
8 Jan 2020JablonecSC Dnipro-1Unknown€600k
1 Jul 2019FC OleksandriyaJablonecFree / loan€800k
1 Jul 2017Dynamo KyivFC OleksandriyaFree / loan€700k
30 Jun 2017FC OleksandriyaDynamo KyivFree / loan€700k
14 Jul 2016Dynamo KyivFC OleksandriyaFree / loan€500k
30 Jun 2016LevadiakosDynamo KyivFree / loan€500k
5 Jan 2016Dynamo KyivLevadiakosFree / loan€500k
31 Dec 2015GoverlaDynamo KyivFree / loan€500k
17 Jul 2015Dynamo KyivGoverlaFree / loan€500k
30 Jun 2015Metalurg Z.Dynamo KyivFree / loan€500k
13 Feb 2015Dynamo KyivMetalurg Z.Free / loan€400k
1 Jul 2013Dynamo Kyiv IIDynamo KyivUnknown€700k
1 Jan 2013Metalurg Z.Dynamo Kyiv IIUnknown€700k
1 Aug 2010Metalurg-2Metalurg Z.UnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2009Metalurg Z. U17Metalurg-2UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.