Igor Perduta

35 yrs · Right-back (also LB, RM) · Ukraine
Zorya Lugansk · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 176 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€100k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€36k – €127k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€99k – €340k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€35k – €102k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€28k – €303k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€36k – €127k
Model value (performance-implied)€99k – €340k
Projected value (24 months)€35k – €102k
Dashed line: current market value (€100k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Igor Perduta's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)

PerformanceBelow average33.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable35.6 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €49k vs market €100k
Expected appreciationLow-12% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.2M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1636 (61% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.22
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.20
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
33 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1192
Opponent strength
1149
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€35k – €102k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 33 pts; changed club; team strength up (+105 Elo); role change LB -> RB.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -50% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ▲Age 36: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1636 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
11 (DEF)
Relative output kept
108%–176%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
82%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Zorya LuganskPremier LigaRB20163661%220.220.20114911920.25
2024/25Vorskla PoltavaPremier LigaLB28251793%030.110.17121410880.28
2023/24Vorskla PoltavaPremier LigaRB28252093%020.070.09126111570.34
2022/23Vorskla PoltavaPremier LigaRB27239589%020.080.10127712960.38
2021/22Vorskla PoltavaPremier LigaRM18151293%020.120.18129413190.45
2020/21Vorskla PoltavaPremier LigaRM22184679%050.240.24128812910.49
2019/20Vorskla PoltavaPremier LigaRB20179791%230.250.28133812160.54
2018/19Vorskla PoltavaPremier LigaRB21181892%020.100.12134412990.57
2017/18Vorskla PoltavaPremier LigaRB21189095%020.100.10131914070.62
2016/17Vorskla PoltavaPremier LigaLB28238283%010.040.07135013340.56
2015/16Vorskla PoltavaPremier LigaRB13105745%000.000.05132213970.54
2014/15Vorskla PoltavaPremier LigaRB1573731%010.120.14140913700.54
2013/14Vorskla PoltavaPremier LigaLB29258299%110.070.14139713430.63
2012/13Vorskla PoltavaPremier LigaRB1086032%000.000.06143113350.70

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Ukrainian CupZorya Lugansk19000—
2024/25Ukrainian CupVorskla Poltava112000—
2023/24Ukrainian CupVorskla Poltava436000—
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingVorskla Poltava2180001348
2022/23Uefa Conference League QualifyingVorskla Poltava2210011355
2021/22Uefa Conference League QualifyingVorskla Poltava2210011369
2021/22Ukrainian CupVorskla Poltava19000—
2020/21Ukrainian CupVorskla Poltava211901—
2019/20Ukrainian CupVorskla Poltava442000—
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueVorskla Poltava6540001577
2018/19Ukrainian CupVorskla Poltava19000—
2017/18Ukrainian CupVorskla Poltava221001—
2016/17Uefa Europa League QualifyingVorskla Poltava2180001423
2016/17Ukrainian CupVorskla Poltava211100—
2015/16Ukrainian CupVorskla Poltava436200—
2015/16Uefa Europa League QualifyingVorskla Poltava174001458
2014/15Ukrainian CupVorskla Poltava218001—
2013/14Ukrainian CupVorskla Poltava221000—
2012/13Ukrainian CupObolon Kyiv (-2012)19000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Alexios Michail
Super League 1 · 2021
35€200k€150kfell
Markus Halsti
Superliga · 2020
36€200k€100kfell
Lasse Fosgaard
Superliga · 2021
35€150k€150kflat
Tiago Pinto
Super Lig · 2021
33€225k€200kflat
Maksym Kovalyov
Premier Liga · 2023
34€200k€100kfell
Maksym Imerekov
Premier Liga · 2024
33€250k€250kflat
Andy Considine
Scottish Premiership · 2024
37€50k€50kflat
Ryan McGowan
Scottish Premiership · 2024
35€200k€25kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
11 Jul 2025Vorskla PoltavaZorya LuganskFree / loan€100k
1 Jan 2013Vorskla IIVorskla PoltavaUnknownData unavailable
31 Dec 2012Obolon KyivVorskla IIFree / loanData unavailable
3 Aug 2012Vorskla IIObolon KyivFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2010Without ClubVorskla IIUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2009Nyva TernopilWithout ClubUnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2009Tern.-BurevisnykNyva TernopilFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.