
Andreas Bouchalakis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Andreas Bouchalakis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.50x the positional average in the league (1611 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Below average | 5.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €174k vs market €300k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -28% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1611 (69% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 6 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1182
- Opponent strength
- 1221
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €117k – €290k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -53% to -13%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1611 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panetolikos Agrinio | Super League 1 | CM | 21 | 1611 | 69% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1221 | 1182 | 0.43 |
| 2022/23 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | CM | 12 | 733 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1295 | 1355 | 0.50 |
| 2022/23 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | DM | 3 | 150 | 6% | 1 | 0 | 0.60 | 0.15 | 1208 | 1446 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | CM | 22 | 1531 | 65% | 2 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 1229 | 1499 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | CM | 21 | 1328 | 57% | 3 | 4 | 0.47 | 0.25 | 1262 | 1531 | 0.39 |
| 2019/20 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | CM | 23 | 1958 | 84% | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 1287 | 1591 | 0.46 |
| 2018/19 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | CM | 18 | 1359 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 1260 | 1557 | 0.43 |
| 2016/17 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | CM | 8 | 216 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1219 | 1520 | 0.44 |
| 2015/16 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | CM | 5 | 174 | 6% | 1 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.18 | 1277 | 1585 | 0.46 |
| 2014/15 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | CM | 9 | 330 | 11% | 1 | 3 | 1.09 | 0.34 | 1237 | 1545 | 0.44 |
| 2013/14 | GS Ergotelis | Super League 1 | CM | 30 | 1398 | 46% | 2 | 2 | 0.26 | 0.30 | 1359 | 1300 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panetolikos Agrinio | 4 | 157 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | Hertha BSC | 2 | 60 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 5 | 371 | 0 | 0 | 1475 |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 2 | 101 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 2 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 1425 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 2 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1403 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 6 | 365 | 0 | 0 | 1454 |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 4 | 329 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 2 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1427 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 2 | 64 | 0 | 1 | 1369 |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 7 | 429 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 6 | 418 | 0 | 0 | 1612 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 4 | 231 | 1 | 0 | 1617 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | 1441 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 6 | 540 | 0 | 1 | 1522 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 6 | 484 | 0 | 0 | 1662 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 4 | 320 | 0 | 0 | 1669 |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 3 | 222 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 4 | 360 | 1 | 0 | 1401 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 5 | 253 | 0 | 0 | 1452 |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 3 | 162 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 5 | 428 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 2 | 117 | 0 | 0 | 1355 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 2 | 101 | 0 | 0 | 1434 |
| 2015/16 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 1 | 89 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 6 | 474 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Champions League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1811 |
| 2013/14 | Kypello Elladas | GS Ergotelis | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Mikkelsen Superliga · 2019 | 33 | €250k | €50k | fell |
| Andi Lila Super League 1 · 2019 | 33 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Juan Munafo Super League 1 · 2020 | 32 | €300k | €250k | flat |
| Yaroslav Martynyuk Premier Liga · 2021 | 32 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Noé Acosta Super League 1 · 2018 | 35 | €200k | €125k | fell |
| Oleksandr Kucherenko Premier Liga · 2023 | 32 | €250k | €150k | fell |
| Anastasios Tsokanis Super League 1 · 2024 | 33 | €400k | €150k | fell |
| Andriy Tkachuk Premier Liga · 2021 | 34 | €200k | €100k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sept 2025 | Hertha BSC | Panetolikos | Free / loan | €350k |
| 31 Aug 2023 | Olympiacos | Hertha BSC | €400k | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Konyaspor | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 2 Feb 2023 | Olympiacos | Konyaspor | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Nott'm Forest | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €800k |
| 27 Jul 2017 | Olympiacos | Nott'm Forest | Free / loan | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2014 | Ergotelis | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €600k |
| 2 Jul 2013 | Olympiacos | Ergotelis | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Ergotelis | Olympiacos | €150k | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2011 | GS Ergotelis U20 | Ergotelis | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.