Andreas Bouchalakis

33 yrs · Central midfielder (also DM) · Greece
Panetolikos Agrinio · Super League 1 · Foot: left · Height: 186 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€300k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€78k – €353k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€195k – €291k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€117k – €290k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€158k – €214k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€78k – €353k
Model value (performance-implied)€195k – €291k
Projected value (24 months)€117k – €290k
Dashed line: current market value (€300k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Andreas Bouchalakis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.50x the positional average in the league (1611 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceBelow average5.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable33.2 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €174k vs market €300k
Expected appreciationVery low-28% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €5.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1611 (69% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.11
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
6 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1182
Opponent strength
1221
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€117k – €290k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -53% to -13%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1611 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
14 (MID)
Relative output kept
67%–189%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
64%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Panetolikos AgrinioSuper League 1CM21161169%000.000.11122111820.43
2022/23KonyasporSuper LigCM1273323%000.000.10129513550.50
2022/23Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1DM31506%100.600.15120814460.37
2021/22Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1CM22153165%200.120.10122914990.39
2020/21Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1CM21132857%340.470.25126215310.39
2019/20Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1CM23195884%110.090.09128715910.46
2018/19Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1CM18135950%110.130.13126015570.43
2016/17Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1CM82168%000.000.11121915200.44
2015/16Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1CM51746%100.520.18127715850.46
2014/15Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1CM933011%131.090.34123715450.44
2013/14GS ErgotelisSuper League 1CM30139846%220.260.30135913000.52

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Kypello ElladasPanetolikos Agrinio415700—
2023/24Dfb PokalHertha BSC26000—
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios5371001475
2022/23Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios210101—
2022/23Uefa Champions League QualifyingOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios263001425
2022/23Uefa Europa League QualifyingOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios236001403
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios6365001454
2021/22Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios432900—
2021/22Uefa Champions League QualifyingOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios272001427
2021/22Uefa Europa League QualifyingOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios264011369
2020/21Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios742910—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios6418001612
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios4231101617
2020/21Uefa Champions League QualifyingOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios2180011441
2019/20Uefa Champions League QualifyingOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios6540011522
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios6484001662
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios4320001669
2019/20Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios322200—
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios4360101401
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios5253001452
2018/19Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios316200—
2016/17Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios542801—
2016/17Uefa Champions League QualifyingOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios2117001355
2016/17Uefa Europa LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios2101001434
2015/16Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios18900—
2014/15Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios647410—
2014/15Uefa Champions LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios118001811
2013/14Kypello ElladasGS Ergotelis11200—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Martin Mikkelsen
Superliga · 2019
33€250k€50kfell
Andi Lila
Super League 1 · 2019
33€250k€250kflat
Juan Munafo
Super League 1 · 2020
32€300k€250kflat
Yaroslav Martynyuk
Premier Liga · 2021
32€200k€200kflat
Noé Acosta
Super League 1 · 2018
35€200k€125kfell
Oleksandr Kucherenko
Premier Liga · 2023
32€250k€150kfell
Anastasios Tsokanis
Super League 1 · 2024
33€400k€150kfell
Andriy Tkachuk
Premier Liga · 2021
34€200k€100kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
12 Sept 2025Hertha BSCPanetolikosFree / loan€350k
31 Aug 2023OlympiacosHertha BSC€400k€3.0M
30 Jun 2023KonyasporOlympiacosFree / loan€3.0M
2 Feb 2023OlympiacosKonyasporFree / loan€4.0M
1 Jul 2018Nott'm ForestOlympiacosFree / loan€800k
27 Jul 2017OlympiacosNott'm ForestFree / loan€800k
30 Jun 2014ErgotelisOlympiacosFree / loan€600k
2 Jul 2013OlympiacosErgotelisFree / loan€500k
1 Jul 2013ErgotelisOlympiacos€150k€500k
1 Jul 2011GS Ergotelis U20ErgotelisUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.