Patrick Pflücke
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Patrick Pflücke's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-2.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.27x the positional average in the league (2100 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 37
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 46th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €633k vs market €1.8M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -55% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2100 (78% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.43
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.52
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 46 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1316
- Opponent strength
- 1389
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €567k – €1.3M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 23 pts; changed club; role change RM -> AM; relative output down 32% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -54% (IQR -75% to -46%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 25 | 1810 | 67% | 3 | 6 | 0.45 | 0.52 | 1389 | 1307 | 0.65 |
| 2025/26 | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | RM | 6 | 290 | 11% | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | 0.25 | 1349 | 1370 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | RM | 23 | 1472 | 55% | 4 | 4 | 0.49 | 0.42 | 1380 | 1350 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 24 | 1154 | 43% | 4 | 4 | 0.62 | 0.53 | 1381 | 1367 | 0.63 |
| 2014/15 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | RW | 1 | 9 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.85 | 1883 | 1481 | 1.03 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | 10 | 549 | 1 | 1 | 1365 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Faty Super Lig · 2016 | 30 | €1.2M | €300k | fell |
| Fernando Boldrin Super Lig · 2019 | 30 | €1.3M | €1.0M | fell |
| Soner Aydoğdu Super Lig · 2018 | 27 | €2.0M | €1.4M | fell |
| Sander van de Streek Eredivisie · 2023 | 30 | €1.6M | €800k | fell |
| Özer Hurmaci Super Lig · 2017 | 31 | €1.5M | €350k | fell |
| Wout Brama Eredivisie · 2016 | 30 | €2.0M | €900k | fell |
| Danny Post Eredivisie · 2019 | 30 | €850k | €400k | fell |
| Erdem Sen Liga Portugal · 2017 | 28 | €2.3M | €500k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Sept 2025 | KV Mechelen | R Charleroi SC | €400k | €1.6M |
| 21 Aug 2023 | Servette FC | KV Mechelen | €500k | €900k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Roda JC | Servette FC | Free / loan | €700k |
| 4 Aug 2020 | KFC Uerdingen | Roda JC | Free / loan | €150k |
| 9 Aug 2018 | B. Dortmund II | KFC Uerdingen | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | FSV Mainz 05 II | B. Dortmund II | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Mainz | FSV Mainz 05 II | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Mainz 05 U19 | Mainz | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Mainz 05 U17 | Mainz 05 U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | D. Dresden U17 | Mainz 05 U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | SC Borea Yth. | D. Dresden U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.