
Noë Dussenne
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Noë Dussenne's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-1.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Average | 42.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 34.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €192k vs market €300k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -26% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1746 (65% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 42 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1329
- Opponent strength
- 1365
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €84k – €276k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -41% (IQR -62% to -32%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1746 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 21 | 1746 | 65% | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 1365 | 1329 | 0.65 |
| 2022/23 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 29 | 2401 | 78% | 5 | 2 | 0.26 | 0.23 | 1314 | 1381 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 20 | 1740 | 57% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 1361 | 1248 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 20 | 1595 | 52% | 2 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 1363 | 1392 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | Royal Excel Mouscron (-2022) | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 2 | 180 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1409 | 1321 | 0.63 |
| 2019/20 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 2 | 91 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1360 | 1458 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | Royal Excel Mouscron (-2022) | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 19 | 1693 | 63% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 1380 | 1341 | 0.65 |
| 2017/18 | KAA Gent | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 4 | 290 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1396 | 1492 | 0.63 |
| 2017/18 | FC Crotone | Serie A | CB | 1 | 82 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1537 | 1328 | 0.86 |
| 2016/17 | FC Crotone | Serie A | CB | 8 | 461 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1519 | 1356 | 0.88 |
| 2016/17 | Royal Excel Mouscron (-2022) | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 4 | 360 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1352 | 1219 | 0.62 |
| 2015/16 | Royal Excel Mouscron (-2022) | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 28 | 2517 | 93% | 6 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 1358 | 1246 | 0.57 |
| 2014/15 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 27 | 2342 | 87% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 1333 | 1166 | 0.54 |
| 2013/14 | RAEC Mons (- 2015) | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 16 | 1256 | 47% | 2 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.19 | 1319 | 1202 | 0.49 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Football Club Lausanne-Sport | 4 | 360 | 1 | 1 | 1342 |
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 2 | 131 | 0 | 0 | 1353 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Standard Liège | 5 | 438 | 0 | 1 | 1571 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Standard Liège | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1472 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barge Liga Portugal · 2017 | 33 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Roman Neustädter Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 35 | €250k | €150k | fell |
| Rafik Halliche Liga Portugal · 2019 | 33 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Nikolaos Lazaridis Super League 1 · 2013 | 34 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Sabri Sarioglu Super Lig · 2018 | 34 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Georgios Georgiou Super League 1 · 2013 | 34 | €400k | €100k | fell |
| Avdija Vrsajevic Super Lig · 2018 | 32 | €500k | €200k | fell |
| Henrique Liga Portugal · 2021 | 35 | €350k | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2025 | Lausanne-Sport | OH Leuven | €300k | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Standard Liège | Lausanne-Sport | Free / loan | €800k |
| 7 Aug 2019 | Mouscron | Standard Liège | €800k | €650k |
| 17 Aug 2018 | Crotone | Mouscron | €200k | €700k |
| 30 Jun 2018 | KAA Gent | Crotone | Free / loan | €700k |
| 29 Aug 2017 | Crotone | KAA Gent | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 25 Aug 2016 | Mouscron | Crotone | €950k | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Cercle Brugge | Mouscron | Unknown | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | RAEC Mons | Cercle Brugge | Free / loan | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2013 | AFC Tubize | RAEC Mons | Free / loan | €250k |
| 15 Jul 2012 | RAEC Mons | AFC Tubize | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2011 | RAEC Mons U19 | RAEC Mons | Unknown | €50k |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.