Noë Dussenne

34 yrs · Centre-back · Belgium
Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: right · Height: 192 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€300k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€100k – €354k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€156k – €1.0M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€84k – €276k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€198k – €949k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€100k – €354k
Model value (performance-implied)€156k – €1.0M
Projected value (24 months)€84k – €276k
Dashed line: current market value (€300k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Noë Dussenne's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-1.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAverage42.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable34.2 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €192k vs market €300k
Expected appreciationLow-26% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.65
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1746 (65% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.10
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.10
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
42 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.65 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1329
Opponent strength
1365
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€84k – €276k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -41% (IQR -62% to -32%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1746 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
76 (DEF)
Relative output kept
67%–160%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
76%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Oud-Heverlee LeuvenJupiler Pro LeagueCB21174665%110.100.10136513290.65
2022/23Standard LiègeJupiler Pro LeagueCB29240178%520.260.23131413810.58
2021/22Standard LiègeJupiler Pro LeagueCB20174057%100.050.06136112480.49
2020/21Standard LiègeJupiler Pro LeagueCB20159552%200.110.08136313920.55
2019/20Royal Excel Mouscron (-2022)Jupiler Pro LeagueCB21807%000.000.08140913210.63
2019/20Standard LiègeJupiler Pro LeagueCB2913%000.000.06136014580.63
2018/19Royal Excel Mouscron (-2022)Jupiler Pro LeagueCB19169363%010.050.08138013410.65
2017/18KAA GentJupiler Pro LeagueCB429011%000.000.05139614920.63
2017/18FC CrotoneSerie ACB1822%000.000.11153713280.86
2016/17FC CrotoneSerie ACB846113%000.000.08151913560.88
2016/17Royal Excel Mouscron (-2022)Jupiler Pro LeagueCB436013%000.000.06135212190.62
2015/16Royal Excel Mouscron (-2022)Jupiler Pro LeagueCB28251793%600.210.20135812460.57
2014/15Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro LeagueCB27234287%110.080.08133311660.54
2013/14RAEC Mons (- 2015)Jupiler Pro LeagueCB16125647%210.210.19131912020.49

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingFootball Club Lausanne-Sport4360111342
2025/26Jupiler Pro League Europe Play OffsOud-Heverlee Leuven2131001353
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueStandard Liège5438011571
2020/21Uefa Europa League QualifyingStandard Liège113001472

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Barge
Liga Portugal · 2017
33€300k€100kfell
Roman Neustädter
Jupiler Pro League · 2023
35€250k€150kfell
Rafik Halliche
Liga Portugal · 2019
33€200k€200kflat
Nikolaos Lazaridis
Super League 1 · 2013
34€500k€300kfell
Sabri Sarioglu
Super Lig · 2018
34€400k€400kflat
Georgios Georgiou
Super League 1 · 2013
34€400k€100kfell
Avdija Vrsajevic
Super Lig · 2018
32€500k€200kfell
Henrique
Liga Portugal · 2021
35€350k€200kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
19 Aug 2025Lausanne-SportOH Leuven€300k€400k
1 Jul 2023Standard LiègeLausanne-SportFree / loan€800k
7 Aug 2019MouscronStandard Liège€800k€650k
17 Aug 2018CrotoneMouscron€200k€700k
30 Jun 2018KAA GentCrotoneFree / loan€700k
29 Aug 2017CrotoneKAA GentFree / loan€1.0M
25 Aug 2016MouscronCrotone€950k€1.5M
1 Jul 2015Cercle BruggeMouscronUnknown€700k
1 Jul 2014RAEC MonsCercle BruggeFree / loan€400k
30 Jun 2013AFC TubizeRAEC MonsFree / loan€250k
15 Jul 2012RAEC MonsAFC TubizeFree / loan€150k
1 Jul 2011RAEC Mons U19RAEC MonsUnknown€50k

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.