Anastasios Bakasetas
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Anastasios Bakasetas's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-2.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.62x the positional average in the league (1368 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Above average | 62.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.0M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -68% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1368 (59% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.53
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.35
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 63 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1465
- Opponent strength
- 1232
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €549k – €1.8M
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+64 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo); role change AM -> CM; relative output up 168% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -48% (IQR -57% to -24%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1368 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | CM | 19 | 1368 | 58% | 5 | 3 | 0.53 | 0.35 | 1232 | 1465 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | AM | 21 | 1250 | 53% | 1 | 2 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 1287 | 1402 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | AM | 18 | 1394 | 41% | 4 | 2 | 0.39 | 0.32 | 1289 | 1379 | 0.45 |
| 2023/24 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | AM | 5 | 435 | 19% | 2 | 1 | 0.62 | 0.44 | 1318 | 1453 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | AM | 27 | 2109 | 65% | 8 | 5 | 0.55 | 0.39 | 1285 | 1377 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | AM | 34 | 2281 | 67% | 8 | 4 | 0.47 | 0.32 | 1259 | 1433 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | AM | 19 | 1627 | 45% | 6 | 2 | 0.44 | 0.38 | 1264 | 1363 | 0.37 |
| 2020/21 | Alanyaspor | Super Lig | AM | 19 | 1606 | 45% | 7 | 2 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 1272 | 1260 | 0.37 |
| 2019/20 | Alanyaspor | Super Lig | SS | 34 | 2841 | 93% | 10 | 5 | 0.48 | 0.51 | 1341 | 1352 | 0.45 |
| 2018/19 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | AM | 22 | 1695 | 63% | 4 | 2 | 0.32 | 0.25 | 1298 | 1442 | 0.43 |
| 2017/18 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | AM | 27 | 1602 | 59% | 6 | 6 | 0.67 | 0.48 | 1273 | 1517 | 0.48 |
| 2016/17 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | AM | 17 | 1049 | 39% | 3 | 1 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 1312 | 1395 | 0.44 |
| 2015/16 | Panionios Athens | Super League 1 | SS | 28 | 2269 | 84% | 11 | 7 | 0.71 | 0.65 | 1318 | 1290 | 0.46 |
| 2014/15 | Panionios Athens | Super League 1 | AM | 13 | 739 | 24% | 1 | 4 | 0.61 | 0.55 | 1317 | 1273 | 0.44 |
| 2014/15 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | AM | 8 | 239 | 8% | 1 | 0 | 0.38 | 0.29 | 1238 | 1365 | 0.44 |
| 2013/14 | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | RW | 10 | 869 | 28% | 3 | 0 | 0.31 | 0.48 | 1336 | 1191 | 0.52 |
| 2013/14 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | AM | 9 | 264 | 9% | 0 | 1 | 0.34 | 0.33 | 1320 | 1375 | 0.52 |
| 2012/13 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | AM | 7 | 209 | 8% | 2 | 0 | 0.86 | 0.49 | 1300 | 1421 | 0.57 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 10 | 690 | 0 | 1 | 1479 |
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 5 | 329 | 4 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 130 | 0 | 0 | 1287 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 128 | 0 | 1 | 1461 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 4 | 367 | 1 | 0 | 1443 |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 4 | 187 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 151 | 0 | 0 | 1530 |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Trabzonspor | 6 | 464 | 3 | 4 | 1522 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 2 | 102 | 1 | 0 | 1471 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 4 | 390 | 0 | 3 | 1564 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Alanyaspor | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1483 |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 3 | 251 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 3 | 209 | 1 | 1 | 1540 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1730 |
| 2017/18 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 9 | 586 | 2 | 3 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 8 | 396 | 0 | 0 | 1505 |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 5 | 264 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | 1473 |
| 2015/16 | Kypello Elladas | Panionios Athens | 6 | 382 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2014/15 | Kypello Elladas | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 2 | 129 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 3 | 115 | 1 | 0 | 1397 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 3 | 92 | 0 | 1 | 1380 |
| 2014/15 | Kypello Elladas | Panionios Athens | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Kypello Elladas | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 2 | 50 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1363 |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 4 | 132 | 0 | 1 | 1403 |
| 2012/13 | Kypello Elladas | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danijel Aleksic Super Lig · 2023 | 32 | €2.0M | €850k | fell |
| Maurício Super League 1 · 2019 | 31 | €3.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Scott Arfield Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 31 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Konstantinos Fortounis Super League 1 · 2024 | 32 | €3.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Alejandro Domínguez Super League 1 · 2015 | 34 | €2.0M | €500k | fell |
| Younès Belhanda Super Lig · 2023 | 33 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Josip Radosevic Superliga · 2024 | 30 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Fernando Super Lig · 2019 | 32 | €4.5M | €4.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2024 | Trabzonspor | Panathinaikos | €1.0M | €9.0M |
| 30 Jan 2021 | Alanyaspor | Trabzonspor | €3.0M | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | AEK Athens | Alanyaspor | €500k | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Panionios | AEK Athens | €300k | €900k |
| 27 Jan 2015 | Asteras Tripoli | Panionios | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2014 | Aris Saloniki | Asteras Tripoli | Free / loan | €500k |
| 14 Jan 2014 | Asteras Tripoli | Aris Saloniki | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2011 | Thrasyvoulos | Asteras Tripoli | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jan 2011 | Asteras Tripoli | Thrasyvoulos | Free / loan | €100k |
| 2 Jul 2010 | A. Tripolis U20 | Asteras Tripoli | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.