
Mame Thiam
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mame Thiam's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.66x the positional average in the league (1183 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Below average | 29.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €402k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -66% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1183 (39% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.15
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.33
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 29 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1204
- Opponent strength
- 1261
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €233k – €802k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 47 pts; relative output down 34% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -61% to -46%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1183 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 79%–133%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 58%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Eyüpspor | Super Lig | ST | 14 | 1183 | 39% | 2 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.33 | 1261 | 1204 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Eyüpspor | Super Lig | ST | 32 | 2772 | 86% | 15 | 3 | 0.58 | 0.53 | 1289 | 1229 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Kayserispor | Super Lig | ST | 19 | 1654 | 48% | 11 | 2 | 0.71 | 0.70 | 1308 | 1208 | 0.45 |
| 2023/24 | Pendikspor | Super Lig | LW | 17 | 1510 | 44% | 6 | 5 | 0.66 | 0.76 | 1313 | 1167 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | Kayserispor | Super Lig | LW | 27 | 1939 | 60% | 8 | 3 | 0.51 | 0.49 | 1311 | 1255 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Kayserispor | Super Lig | LW | 24 | 2053 | 60% | 11 | 5 | 0.70 | 0.66 | 1257 | 1216 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | ST | 30 | 1475 | 41% | 6 | 4 | 0.61 | 0.53 | 1278 | 1380 | 0.37 |
| 2019/20 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | LW | 25 | 1995 | 65% | 11 | 4 | 0.68 | 0.69 | 1343 | 1273 | 0.45 |
| 2016/17 | FC Empoli | Serie A | ST | 15 | 874 | 26% | 1 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.47 | 1487 | 1312 | 0.88 |
| 2016/17 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | LW | 1 | 11 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.32 | 1211 | 1462 | 0.44 |
| 2015/16 | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 27 | 2033 | 75% | 9 | 3 | 0.53 | 0.44 | 1334 | 1324 | 0.57 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 5 | 140 | 0 | 0 | 1503 |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 121 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dever Orgill Super Lig · 2021 | 31 | €575k | €50k | fell |
| Amilton Super Lig · 2022 | 33 | €750k | €300k | fell |
| Nikolaos Karelis Super League 1 · 2024 | 32 | €500k | €250k | fell |
| Fotis Georgiou Super League 1 · 2017 | 32 | €350k | €200k | fell |
| Evgeniy Lutsenko Premier Liga · 2021 | 34 | €500k | €175k | fell |
| Efecan Karaca Super Lig · 2021 | 32 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Cameron Jerome Super Lig · 2020 | 34 | €475k | €250k | fell |
| Roy Contout Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 30 | €500k | €500k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | Eyüpspor | Corum FK | Unknown | €1.2M |
| 24 Jul 2024 | Pendikspor | Eyüpspor | Unknown | €3.0M |
| 12 Jan 2024 | Kayserispor | Pendikspor | €1.7M | €2.8M |
| 25 Aug 2021 | Fenerbahçe | Kayserispor | €1.5M | €2.5M |
| 18 Aug 2020 | Kasimpasa | Fenerbahçe | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Ajman Club | Kasimpasa | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 8 Aug 2018 | Esteghlal FC | Ajman Club | €307k | €2.0M |
| 6 Feb 2018 | Without Club | Esteghlal FC | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 19 Sept 2017 | Juventus | Without Club | Unknown | €1.3M |
| 30 Jun 2017 | FC Empoli | Juventus | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 13 Jan 2017 | Juventus | FC Empoli | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 11 Jan 2017 | PAOK | Juventus | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 31 Aug 2016 | Juventus | PAOK | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Zulte Waregem | Juventus | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 25 Jul 2015 | Juventus | Zulte Waregem | Free / loan | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Virtus Lanciano | Juventus | €1.4M | €700k |
| 15 Jul 2013 | Inter | Virtus Lanciano | Unknown | €375k |
| 30 Jun 2013 | Südtirol | Inter | Free / loan | €375k |
| 12 Jul 2012 | Inter | Südtirol | Free / loan | €250k |
| 30 Jun 2012 | AS Avellino | Inter | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Aug 2011 | Inter U19 | AS Avellino | Free / loan | €75k |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Sassuolo U20 | Inter U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.