Mame Thiam

34 yrs · Striker (also LW) · Senegal
Eyüpspor · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 185 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€1.2M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€302k – €944k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€271k – €730k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€233k – €802k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€673k – €429k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€302k – €944k
Model value (performance-implied)€271k – €730k
Projected value (24 months)€233k – €802k
Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Mame Thiam's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.66x the positional average in the league (1183 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceBelow average29.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable33.7 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €402k vs market €1.2M
Expected appreciationVery low-66% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €3.2M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1183 (39% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.15
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.33
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
29 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1204
Opponent strength
1261
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€233k – €802k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 47 pts; relative output down 34% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -61% to -46%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1183 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (ATT)
Relative output kept
79%–133%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
58%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26EyüpsporSuper LigST14118339%200.150.33126112040.40
2024/25EyüpsporSuper LigST32277286%1530.580.53128912290.39
2023/24KayserisporSuper LigST19165448%1120.710.70130812080.45
2023/24PendiksporSuper LigLW17151044%650.660.76131311670.45
2022/23KayserisporSuper LigLW27193960%830.510.49131112550.50
2021/22KayserisporSuper LigLW24205360%1150.700.66125712160.42
2020/21FenerbahceSuper LigST30147541%640.610.53127813800.37
2019/20KasimpasaSuper LigLW25199565%1140.680.69134312730.45
2016/17FC EmpoliSerie AST1587426%110.210.47148713120.88
2016/17Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1LW1110%000.000.32121114620.44
2015/16Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro LeagueLW27203375%930.530.44133413240.57

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2016/17Uefa Europa LeaguePanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton5140001503
2016/17Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton212100—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Dever Orgill
Super Lig · 2021
31€575k€50kfell
Amilton
Super Lig · 2022
33€750k€300kfell
Nikolaos Karelis
Super League 1 · 2024
32€500k€250kfell
Fotis Georgiou
Super League 1 · 2017
32€350k€200kfell
Evgeniy Lutsenko
Premier Liga · 2021
34€500k€175kfell
Efecan Karaca
Super Lig · 2021
32€2.0M€1.0Mfell
Cameron Jerome
Super Lig · 2020
34€475k€250kfell
Roy Contout
Jupiler Pro League · 2015
30€500k€500kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
6 Jan 2026EyüpsporCorum FKUnknown€1.2M
24 Jul 2024PendiksporEyüpsporUnknown€3.0M
12 Jan 2024KayserisporPendikspor€1.7M€2.8M
25 Aug 2021FenerbahçeKayserispor€1.5M€2.5M
18 Aug 2020KasimpasaFenerbahçeFree / loan€2.0M
1 Jul 2019Ajman ClubKasimpasaFree / loan€1.5M
8 Aug 2018Esteghlal FCAjman Club€307k€2.0M
6 Feb 2018Without ClubEsteghlal FCUnknown€1.0M
19 Sept 2017JuventusWithout ClubUnknown€1.3M
30 Jun 2017FC EmpoliJuventusFree / loan€1.3M
13 Jan 2017JuventusFC EmpoliFree / loan€1.3M
11 Jan 2017PAOKJuventusFree / loan€1.3M
31 Aug 2016JuventusPAOKFree / loan€1.5M
30 Jun 2016Zulte WaregemJuventusFree / loan€1.5M
25 Jul 2015JuventusZulte WaregemFree / loan€700k
1 Jul 2015Virtus LancianoJuventus€1.4M€700k
15 Jul 2013InterVirtus LancianoUnknown€375k
30 Jun 2013SüdtirolInterFree / loan€375k
12 Jul 2012InterSüdtirolFree / loan€250k
30 Jun 2012AS AvellinoInterFree / loan€250k
1 Aug 2011Inter U19AS AvellinoFree / loan€75k
1 Jul 2010Sassuolo U20Inter U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.