Eli Dasa
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Eli Dasa's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Average | 41.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €411k vs market €700k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -55% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1815 (59% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.05
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.05
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 41 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1362
- Opponent strength
- 1305
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €214k – €476k
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-83 Elo); league level down (-56 Elo); role change RB -> CB.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -47% (IQR -59% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie | CB | 22 | 1815 | 59% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1305 | 1362 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | RB | 20 | 1399 | 52% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.09 | 1294 | 1445 | 0.55 |
| 2023/24 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | RB | 20 | 1600 | 59% | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 1315 | 1374 | 0.49 |
| 2022/23 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | RB | 22 | 1669 | 62% | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 1329 | 1325 | 0.53 |
| 2021/22 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | RM | 31 | 2623 | 86% | 0 | 6 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 1339 | 1379 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | RM | 30 | 2669 | 87% | 0 | 6 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 1357 | 1394 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | RB | 10 | 843 | 36% | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 1321 | 1393 | 0.62 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 298 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 6 | 386 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 2 | 116 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 7 | 501 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Vitesse Arnhem | 2 | 180 | 1 | 3 | 1474 |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 2 | 162 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 3 | 225 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Facundo Sánchez Super League 1 · 2022 | 32 | €600k | €450k | fell |
| Nick Viergever Eredivisie · 2024 | 35 | €450k | €300k | fell |
| Franco Ferrari Super League 1 · 2024 | 32 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Dmytro Khomchenovskyi Premier Liga · 2022 | 32 | €600k | €250k | fell |
| Arnold Kruiswijk Eredivisie · 2017 | 33 | €900k | €200k | fell |
| Dmytro Chygrynskyi Super League 1 · 2020 | 34 | €600k | €250k | fell |
| Juankar Super League 1 · 2021 | 31 | €700k | €900k | rose |
| Ehsan Hajsafi Super League 1 · 2023 | 33 | €800k | €300k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | NEC Nijmegen | Without Club | Unknown | €700k |
| 22 Sept 2025 | Without Club | NEC Nijmegen | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2025 | Dynamo Moscow | Without Club | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 7 Sept 2022 | Vitesse | Dynamo Moscow | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 9 Sept 2019 | Without Club | Vitesse | Unknown | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | M. Tel Aviv | Without Club | Unknown | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2015 | B. Jerusalem | M. Tel Aviv | €600k | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Jerusalem U19 | B. Jerusalem | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.