
Berat Djimsiti
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Berat Djimsiti's performance-implied value at EUR 2.9M-13.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.3M-3.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-2.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Elite | 94.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.8M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -61% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2526 (74% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.02
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 95 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1588
- Opponent strength
- 1493
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €995k – €2.3M
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-91 Elo); relative output down 78% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -69% (IQR -81% to -60%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 34 | 2526 | 74% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1493 | 1588 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 34 | 2648 | 77% | 1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 1505 | 1679 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 37 | 2831 | 83% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 1483 | 1709 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 24 | 1798 | 53% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1481 | 1556 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 31 | 2257 | 66% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 1455 | 1566 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 33 | 2628 | 77% | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 1461 | 1673 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 34 | 2790 | 82% | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 1430 | 1666 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 24 | 1803 | 53% | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.09 | 1500 | 1570 | 0.78 |
| 2017/18 | Benevento Calcio | Serie A | CB | 30 | 2700 | 79% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 1474 | 1241 | 0.86 |
| 2015/16 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 3 | 270 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1509 | 1411 | 0.95 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 10 | 702 | 0 | 0 | 1640 |
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 3 | 270 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 9 | 679 | 1 | 0 | 1653 |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 2 | 154 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Super Cup | Atalanta BC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1881 |
| 2024/25 | Supercoppa Italiana | Atalanta BC | 1 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1833 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Atalanta BC | 12 | 1044 | 1 | 0 | 1632 |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Atalanta BC | 4 | 329 | 2 | 0 | 1579 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 5 | 260 | 0 | 0 | 1633 |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0 | 1697 |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 5 | 373 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 6 | 510 | 0 | 0 | 1743 |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Atalanta BC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1342 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Zürich | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 1439 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Serie A · 2018 | 34 | €8.0M | €600k | fell |
| Marc Planus Ligue 1 · 2013 | 31 | €2.5M | €500k | fell |
| Axel Witsel Laliga · 2023 | 34 | €5.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Milan Bisevac Ligue 1 · 2013 | 30 | €6.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Bruno Alves Super Lig · 2015 | 34 | €3.0M | €800k | fell |
| Germán Pezzella Laliga · 2023 | 32 | €5.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Danilo Pereira Ligue 1 · 2024 | 33 | €8.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Stefan Savic Laliga · 2023 | 32 | €6.0M | €900k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2018 | Benevento | Atalanta | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 13 Jul 2017 | Atalanta | Benevento | Free / loan | €700k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Avellino | Atalanta | Free / loan | €700k |
| 31 Aug 2016 | Atalanta | Avellino | Free / loan | €800k |
| 18 Jan 2016 | FC Zürich | Atalanta | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2012 | FC Zürich U21 | FC Zürich | Unknown | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2011 | FC Zürich U18 | FC Zürich U21 | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2010 | FC Zürich U17 | FC Zürich U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | FC Zürich U16 | FC Zürich U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.