
Dimitri Foulquier
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dimitri Foulquier's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-2.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Above average | 65.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €301k vs market €900k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -41% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1148 (34% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 65 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1497
- Opponent strength
- 1495
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €297k – €781k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 34 pts; relative output down 23% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -48% (IQR -68% to -31%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1148 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Valencia CF | Laliga | RB | 15 | 1148 | 34% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1495 | 1496 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Valencia CF | Laliga | RB | 32 | 2297 | 67% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 1510 | 1463 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Valencia CF | Laliga | RB | 33 | 1833 | 54% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1490 | 1459 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Valencia CF | Laliga | RB | 30 | 1727 | 50% | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 1524 | 1444 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Valencia CF | Laliga | RB | 29 | 2340 | 68% | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 1552 | 1487 | 1.05 |
| 2021/22 | Granada CF | Laliga | RB | 2 | 180 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1595 | 1415 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Granada CF | Laliga | RB | 31 | 2580 | 75% | 0 | 4 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 1570 | 1466 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | Granada CF | Laliga | RB | 17 | 1115 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.13 | 1549 | 1512 | 1.16 |
| 2019/20 | Watford FC | Premier League | RB | 3 | 58 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 1744 | 1433 | 1.14 |
| 2018/19 | Getafe CF | Laliga | RM | 25 | 1810 | 53% | 3 | 3 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 1521 | 1583 | 1.14 |
| 2017/18 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | Ligue 1 | RB | 16 | 1239 | 36% | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 1474 | 1342 | 0.85 |
| 2016/17 | Granada CF | Laliga | RB | 22 | 1868 | 55% | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 1567 | 1324 | 1.11 |
| 2015/16 | Granada CF | Laliga | RB | 21 | 1525 | 45% | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 1576 | 1457 | 1.17 |
| 2014/15 | Granada CF | Laliga | RB | 25 | 1686 | 49% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.11 | 1599 | 1442 | 1.18 |
| 2013/14 | Granada CF | Laliga | RB | 24 | 1117 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1583 | 1440 | 1.19 |
| 2013/14 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | RM | 2 | 59 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 1483 | 1404 | 0.79 |
| 2012/13 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | RB | 15 | 795 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1433 | 1388 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Valencia CF | 4 | 252 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Valencia CF | 2 | 159 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Valencia CF | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Valencia CF | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Supercopa | Valencia CF | 1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1823 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Valencia CF | 7 | 536 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Granada CF | 9 | 614 | 0 | 1 | 1587 |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Granada CF | 4 | 249 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Granada CF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1552 |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | Granada CF | 5 | 505 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Copa Del Rey | Getafe CF | 4 | 283 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Copa Del Rey | Granada CF | 3 | 127 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Copa Del Rey | Granada CF | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Copa Del Rey | Granada CF | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aridane Hernández Laliga · 2022 | 33 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Tomas Hubocan Ligue 1 · 2017 | 32 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
| Nicolas Frey Serie A · 2016 | 32 | €700k | €200k | fell |
| Rolando Ligue 1 · 2019 | 34 | €750k | €200k | fell |
| Sokratis Papastathopoulos Laliga · 2024 | 36 | €700k | €700k | flat |
| Juan Cala Laliga · 2022 | 33 | €900k | €600k | fell |
| Stefan Bell Bundesliga · 2024 | 33 | €800k | €600k | fell |
| Nicolás Burdisso Serie A · 2014 | 33 | €800k | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2021 | Granada CF | Valencia | €2.5M | €3.5M |
| 4 Aug 2020 | Watford | Granada CF | €2.0M | €2.0M |
| 20 Jul 2020 | Granada CF | Watford | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 2 Jan 2020 | Watford | Granada CF | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Getafe | Watford | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 23 Aug 2018 | Watford | Getafe | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | R. Strasbourg | Watford | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 26 Aug 2017 | Watford | R. Strasbourg | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 25 Aug 2017 | Granada CF | Watford | €2.0M | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Stade Rennais | Granada CF | €2.5M | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2014 | Granada CF | Stade Rennais | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 28 Aug 2013 | Stade Rennais | Granada CF | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Rennes B | Stade Rennais | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Rennes U19 | Rennes B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Rennes Jugend | Rennes U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2007 | Club Amical | Rennes Jugend | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.