Dimitri Foulquier

33 yrs · Right-back (also RM) · Guadeloupe
Valencia CF · Laliga · Foot: right · Height: 183 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€900k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€226k – €733k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€966k – €2.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€297k – €781k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€234k – €2.1M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€226k – €733k
Model value (performance-implied)€966k – €2.3M
Projected value (24 months)€297k – €781k
Dashed line: current market value (€900k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Dimitri Foulquier's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-2.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAbove average65.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable33.3 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €301k vs market €900k
Expected appreciationVery low-41% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €4.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1148 (34% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.07
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
65 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1497
Opponent strength
1495
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€297k – €781k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 34 pts; relative output down 23% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -48% (IQR -68% to -31%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1148 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Valencia CFLaligaRB15114834%000.000.07149514960.95
2024/25Valencia CFLaligaRB32229767%010.040.09151014630.95
2023/24Valencia CFLaligaRB33183354%000.000.06149014591.00
2022/23Valencia CFLaligaRB30172750%020.100.14152414440.98
2021/22Valencia CFLaligaRB29234068%020.080.11155214871.05
2021/22Granada CFLaligaRB21805%000.000.15159514151.05
2020/21Granada CFLaligaRB31258075%040.140.15157014661.10
2019/20Granada CFLaligaRB17111533%100.080.13154915121.16
2019/20Watford FCPremier LeagueRB3582%000.000.25174414331.14
2018/19Getafe CFLaligaRM25181053%330.300.31152115831.14
2017/18RC Strasbourg AlsaceLigue 1RB16123936%020.150.16147413420.85
2016/17Granada CFLaligaRB22186855%020.100.12156713241.11
2015/16Granada CFLaligaRB21152545%110.120.15157614571.17
2014/15Granada CFLaligaRB25168649%010.050.11159914421.18
2013/14Granada CFLaligaRB24111733%000.000.07158314401.19
2013/14Stade Rennais FCLigue 1RM2592%000.000.40148314040.79
2012/13Stade Rennais FCLigue 1RB1579523%000.000.07143313880.88

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Copa Del ReyValencia CF425200—
2024/25Copa Del ReyValencia CF215900—
2023/24Copa Del ReyValencia CF19000—
2022/23Copa Del ReyValencia CF218000—
2022/23SupercopaValencia CF125001823
2021/22Copa Del ReyValencia CF753600—
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueGranada CF9614011587
2020/21Copa Del ReyGranada CF424911—
2020/21Uefa Europa League QualifyingGranada CF11001552
2019/20Copa Del ReyGranada CF550500—
2018/19Copa Del ReyGetafe CF428300—
2015/16Copa Del ReyGranada CF312700—
2014/15Copa Del ReyGranada CF218000—
2013/14Copa Del ReyGranada CF11200—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Aridane Hernández
Laliga · 2022
33€1.5M€800kfell
Tomas Hubocan
Ligue 1 · 2017
32€1.5M€500kfell
Nicolas Frey
Serie A · 2016
32€700k€200kfell
Rolando
Ligue 1 · 2019
34€750k€200kfell
Sokratis Papastathopoulos
Laliga · 2024
36€700k€700kflat
Juan Cala
Laliga · 2022
33€900k€600kfell
Stefan Bell
Bundesliga · 2024
33€800k€600kfell
Nicolás Burdisso
Serie A · 2014
33€800k€400kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Aug 2021Granada CFValencia€2.5M€3.5M
4 Aug 2020WatfordGranada CF€2.0M€2.0M
20 Jul 2020Granada CFWatfordFree / loan€2.0M
2 Jan 2020WatfordGranada CFFree / loan€2.5M
30 Jun 2019GetafeWatfordFree / loan€3.5M
23 Aug 2018WatfordGetafeFree / loan€2.0M
30 Jun 2018R. StrasbourgWatfordFree / loan€2.0M
26 Aug 2017WatfordR. StrasbourgFree / loan€2.0M
25 Aug 2017Granada CFWatford€2.0M€2.0M
1 Jul 2014Stade RennaisGranada CF€2.5M€1.5M
30 Jun 2014Granada CFStade RennaisFree / loan€1.5M
28 Aug 2013Stade RennaisGranada CFFree / loan€1.0M
1 Jul 2011Rennes BStade RennaisUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Rennes U19Rennes BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2009Rennes JugendRennes U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2007Club AmicalRennes JugendUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.