
Salih Uçan
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Salih Uçan's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.53x the positional average in the league (514 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 28.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €465k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -48% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 514 (17% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.12
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 29 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1350
- Opponent strength
- 1273
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €250k – €651k
Trajectory drivers: relative output down 32% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -25% (IQR -41% to -8%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 514 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | CM | 19 | 514 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1273 | 1350 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | CM | 17 | 488 | 15% | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.16 | 1270 | 1340 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | CM | 23 | 1574 | 46% | 1 | 4 | 0.29 | 0.18 | 1270 | 1336 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | CM | 29 | 2229 | 69% | 3 | 8 | 0.44 | 0.27 | 1291 | 1517 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | CM | 10 | 439 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1227 | 1342 | 0.42 |
| 2021/22 | Basaksehir FK | Super Lig | CM | 10 | 258 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1215 | 1372 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Alanyaspor | Super Lig | CM | 35 | 2440 | 68% | 2 | 6 | 0.30 | 0.23 | 1283 | 1260 | 0.37 |
| 2019/20 | Alanyaspor | Super Lig | CM | 26 | 1296 | 42% | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 1331 | 1352 | 0.45 |
| 2018/19 | FC Empoli | Serie A | CM | 14 | 250 | 7% | 1 | 1 | 0.72 | 0.58 | 1556 | 1304 | 0.78 |
| 2016/17 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | AM | 11 | 403 | 13% | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 1409 | 1547 | 0.62 |
| 2015/16 | Associazione Sportiva Roma | Serie A | CM | 3 | 39 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1413 | 1665 | 0.95 |
| 2014/15 | Associazione Sportiva Roma | Serie A | CM | 4 | 165 | 5% | 0 | 1 | 0.55 | 0.17 | 1392 | 1574 | 0.93 |
| 2013/14 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | AM | 16 | 388 | 13% | 0 | 2 | 0.46 | 0.28 | 1458 | 1592 | 0.78 |
| 2012/13 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | CM | 10 | 420 | 14% | 3 | 0 | 0.64 | 0.26 | 1385 | 1591 | 0.89 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 7 | 130 | 0 | 0 | 1506 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1378 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 6 | 409 | 1 | 2 | 1342 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 5 | 109 | 0 | 0 | 1691 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Alanyaspor | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1483 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Fenerbahce | 2 | 172 | 0 | 0 | 1517 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Fenerbahce | 2 | 143 | 0 | 1 | 1384 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Fenerbahce | 2 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 1458 |
| 2015/16 | Italy Cup | Associazione Sportiva Roma | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Champions League | Associazione Sportiva Roma | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1747 |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Europa League | Fenerbahce | 7 | 268 | 1 | 0 | 1584 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paweł Olkowski Super Lig · 2020 | 30 | €525k | €125k | fell |
| Tayfur Bingöl Super Lig · 2024 | 31 | €700k | €400k | fell |
| Omar El Kaddouri Super League 1 · 2023 | 33 | €1.0M | €600k | fell |
| Loret Sadiku Super Lig · 2024 | 33 | €375k | €375k | flat |
| Steven Defour Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 33 | €900k | €900k | flat |
| Chris Clark Scottish Premiership · 2013 | 33 | €325k | €275k | flat |
| Don Cowie Scottish Premiership · 2016 | 33 | €500k | €450k | flat |
| Cheick Doukouré Super League 1 · 2023 | 31 | €600k | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2022 | Basaksehir | Besiktas | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 28 Jan 2022 | Besiktas | Basaksehir | Free / loan | €3.2M |
| 4 Jul 2021 | Alanyaspor | Besiktas | Free / loan | €4.6M |
| 11 Jul 2019 | FC Empoli | Alanyaspor | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 31 Jan 2019 | Fenerbahçe | FC Empoli | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 30 Jan 2019 | FC Empoli | Fenerbahçe | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 17 Aug 2018 | Fenerbahçe | FC Empoli | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | FC Sion | Fenerbahçe | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 31 Aug 2017 | Fenerbahçe | FC Sion | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Roma | Fenerbahçe | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 18 Jul 2014 | Fenerbahçe | Roma | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Bucaspor | Fenerbahçe | €1.6M | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Bucaspor U21 | Bucaspor | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Bucaspor Yth | Bucaspor U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 19 Sept 2008 | Marmaris Bld Yth | Bucaspor Yth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.