Moi Gómez

32 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also CM, LW) · Spain
CA Osasuna · Laliga · Foot: right · Height: 176 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€1.5M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€425k – €1.2M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.2M – €2.1M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€455k – €1.3M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€47k – €1.7M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€425k – €1.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €2.1M
Projected value (24 months)€455k – €1.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Moi Gómez's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-2.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.81x the positional average in the league (1197 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 71

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average59.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable32 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €567k vs market €1.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-39% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €10.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1197 (35% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.15
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.32
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
60 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1427
Opponent strength
1458
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€455k – €1.3M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -69% to -30%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1197 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26CA OsasunaLaligaAM26119735%020.150.32145814270.95
2024/25CA OsasunaLaligaAM2677823%000.000.25154314840.95
2023/24CA OsasunaLaligaLW28201159%300.130.23144314421.00
2022/23CA OsasunaLaligaLW33246072%320.180.31151014550.98
2021/22Villarreal CFLaligaLW29127737%220.280.26151516611.05
2020/21Villarreal CFLaligaLW35257375%410.170.21154716761.10
2019/20Villarreal CFLaligaLW37233068%570.460.49153316101.16
2018/19SD HuescaLaligaCM36306190%290.320.45155914101.14
2016/17Sporting GijónLaligaLW26188355%250.330.47156614031.11
2015/16Getafe CFLaligaLW2290426%230.500.56157614111.17
2013/14Villarreal CFLaligaLW19124736%230.360.36149515851.19

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Copa Del ReyCA Osasuna328110—
2024/25Copa Del ReyCA Osasuna217010—
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingCA Osasuna2156001500
2023/24SupercopaCA Osasuna185001695
2022/23Copa Del ReyCA Osasuna538601—
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueVillarreal CF6224011676
2021/22Copa Del ReyVillarreal CF216610—
2021/22Uefa Super CupVillarreal CF149001754
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueVillarreal CF11263001588
2020/21Copa Del ReyVillarreal CF38602—
2019/20Copa Del ReyVillarreal CF425701—
2015/16Copa Del ReyGetafe CF213300—
2013/14Copa Del ReyVillarreal CF419200—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Alessandro Diamanti
Serie A · 2016
33€1.5M€250kfell
Alou Diarra
Ligue 1 · 2013
32€1.3M€1.0Mfell
Borja García
Laliga · 2021
31€1.5M€1.0Mfell
Sebastian Rudy
Bundesliga · 2023
33€1.0M€1.0Mflat
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
Serie A · 2023
31€1.5M€500kfell
Andrea Dossena
Serie A · 2013
32€1.8M€500kfell
Marco Höger
Bundesliga · 2020
31€1.4M€450kfell
Rodrigo Battaglia
Laliga · 2023
32€1.5M€900kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
28 Jul 2022VillarrealCA Osasuna€1.8M€8.0M
18 Jul 2019Sporting GijónVillarreal€1.3M€5.0M
30 Jun 2019SD HuescaSporting GijónFree / loan€5.0M
26 Jan 2018Sporting GijónSD HuescaFree / loan€2.0M
5 Jul 2016VillarrealSporting GijónFree / loan€3.0M
30 Jun 2016GetafeVillarrealFree / loan€3.0M
9 Jul 2015VillarrealGetafeFree / loan€5.0M
1 Jul 2012Villarreal CF BVillarrealUnknown€500k
1 Jan 2012FC Villarreal CVillarreal CF BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2011Villarreal U19FC Villarreal CUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Alicante U19Villarreal U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.