
Moi Gómez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Moi Gómez's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-2.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.81x the positional average in the league (1197 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 71
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 59.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €567k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -39% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1197 (35% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.15
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.32
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 60 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1427
- Opponent strength
- 1458
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €455k – €1.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -69% to -30%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1197 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | AM | 26 | 1197 | 35% | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.32 | 1458 | 1427 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | AM | 26 | 778 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 1543 | 1484 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | LW | 28 | 2011 | 59% | 3 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.23 | 1443 | 1442 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | LW | 33 | 2460 | 72% | 3 | 2 | 0.18 | 0.31 | 1510 | 1455 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | LW | 29 | 1277 | 37% | 2 | 2 | 0.28 | 0.26 | 1515 | 1661 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | LW | 35 | 2573 | 75% | 4 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.21 | 1547 | 1676 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | LW | 37 | 2330 | 68% | 5 | 7 | 0.46 | 0.49 | 1533 | 1610 | 1.16 |
| 2018/19 | SD Huesca | Laliga | CM | 36 | 3061 | 90% | 2 | 9 | 0.32 | 0.45 | 1559 | 1410 | 1.14 |
| 2016/17 | Sporting Gijón | Laliga | LW | 26 | 1883 | 55% | 2 | 5 | 0.33 | 0.47 | 1566 | 1403 | 1.11 |
| 2015/16 | Getafe CF | Laliga | LW | 22 | 904 | 26% | 2 | 3 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 1576 | 1411 | 1.17 |
| 2013/14 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | LW | 19 | 1247 | 36% | 2 | 3 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 1495 | 1585 | 1.19 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 3 | 281 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 2 | 170 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | CA Osasuna | 2 | 156 | 0 | 0 | 1500 |
| 2023/24 | Supercopa | CA Osasuna | 1 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 1695 |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 5 | 386 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Villarreal CF | 6 | 224 | 0 | 1 | 1676 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 2 | 166 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Super Cup | Villarreal CF | 1 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 1754 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Villarreal CF | 11 | 263 | 0 | 0 | 1588 |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 3 | 86 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 4 | 257 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2015/16 | Copa Del Rey | Getafe CF | 2 | 133 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 4 | 192 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alessandro Diamanti Serie A · 2016 | 33 | €1.5M | €250k | fell |
| Alou Diarra Ligue 1 · 2013 | 32 | €1.3M | €1.0M | fell |
| Borja García Laliga · 2021 | 31 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Sebastian Rudy Bundesliga · 2023 | 33 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro Serie A · 2023 | 31 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
| Andrea Dossena Serie A · 2013 | 32 | €1.8M | €500k | fell |
| Marco Höger Bundesliga · 2020 | 31 | €1.4M | €450k | fell |
| Rodrigo Battaglia Laliga · 2023 | 32 | €1.5M | €900k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul 2022 | Villarreal | CA Osasuna | €1.8M | €8.0M |
| 18 Jul 2019 | Sporting Gijón | Villarreal | €1.3M | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | SD Huesca | Sporting Gijón | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 26 Jan 2018 | Sporting Gijón | SD Huesca | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 5 Jul 2016 | Villarreal | Sporting Gijón | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Getafe | Villarreal | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 9 Jul 2015 | Villarreal | Getafe | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Villarreal CF B | Villarreal | Unknown | €500k |
| 1 Jan 2012 | FC Villarreal C | Villarreal CF B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2011 | Villarreal U19 | FC Villarreal C | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Alicante U19 | Villarreal U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.