Aymeric Laporte
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Aymeric Laporte's performance-implied value at EUR 1.8M-7.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.3M-8.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.1M-4.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 1
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 82.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €6.4M vs market €8.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -60% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2060 (60% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.09
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 82 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1451
- Opponent strength
- 1475
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.1M – €4.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -83% (IQR -86% to -69%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Athletic Bilbao | Laliga | CB | 25 | 2060 | 60% | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 1475 | 1451 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Manchester City | Premier League | CB | 1 | 11 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1454 | 1893 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Manchester City | Premier League | CB | 12 | 993 | 29% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1499 | 1915 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Manchester City | Premier League | CB | 33 | 2834 | 83% | 4 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.06 | 1560 | 1866 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Manchester City | Premier League | CB | 16 | 1343 | 39% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1553 | 1883 | 1.19 |
| 2019/20 | Manchester City | Premier League | CB | 15 | 1104 | 32% | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.04 | 1571 | 1848 | 1.14 |
| 2018/19 | Manchester City | Premier League | CB | 35 | 3057 | 89% | 3 | 3 | 0.18 | 0.07 | 1530 | 1924 | 1.22 |
| 2017/18 | Athletic Bilbao | Laliga | CB | 19 | 1710 | 50% | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 0.12 | 1523 | 1490 | 1.11 |
| 2017/18 | Manchester City | Premier League | CB | 9 | 807 | 24% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1531 | 1831 | 1.15 |
| 2016/17 | Athletic Bilbao | Laliga | CB | 33 | 2865 | 84% | 2 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1569 | 1591 | 1.11 |
| 2015/16 | Athletic Bilbao | Laliga | CB | 26 | 2214 | 65% | 3 | 1 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 1597 | 1641 | 1.17 |
| 2014/15 | Athletic Bilbao | Laliga | CB | 33 | 2960 | 87% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 1556 | 1611 | 1.18 |
| 2013/14 | Athletic Bilbao | Laliga | CB | 35 | 2945 | 86% | 2 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 1554 | 1635 | 1.19 |
| 2012/13 | Athletic Bilbao | Laliga | CB | 15 | 1213 | 35% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1505 | 1477 | 1.06 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Spain | 3 | 270 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Athletic Bilbao | 3 | 239 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Athletic Bilbao | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | 1580 |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 5 | 316 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 4 | 292 | 0 | 1 | 1508 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 9 | 796 | 0 | 0 | 1706 |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 2 | 128 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 4 | 277 | 0 | 0 | 1569 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 3 | 213 | 0 | 0 | 1691 |
| 2019/20 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 10 | 882 | 2 | 0 | 1626 |
| 2018/19 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 4 | 281 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Community Shield | Manchester City | 1 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 1667 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Athletic Bilbao | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1453 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Athletic Bilbao | 4 | 360 | 1 | 0 | 1358 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1721 |
| 2017/18 | Copa Del Rey | Athletic Bilbao | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Athletic Bilbao | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1444 |
| 2016/17 | Copa Del Rey | Athletic Bilbao | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League | Athletic Bilbao | 9 | 810 | 0 | 0 | 1488 |
| 2015/16 | Copa Del Rey | Athletic Bilbao | 5 | 450 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Athletic Bilbao | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1444 |
| 2015/16 | Supercopa | Athletic Bilbao | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1916 |
| 2014/15 | Copa Del Rey | Athletic Bilbao | 7 | 541 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Champions League | Athletic Bilbao | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | 1559 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Athletic Bilbao | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1649 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | Athletic Bilbao | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1520 |
| 2013/14 | Copa Del Rey | Athletic Bilbao | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Paletta Serie A · 2016 | 30 | €5.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Samuel Gigot Ligue 1 · 2024 | 31 | €9.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Gary Caldwell Premier League · 2013 | 31 | €3.0M | €500k | fell |
| Bram Nuytinck Serie A · 2022 | 32 | €3.5M | €600k | fell |
| Miguel Britos Premier League · 2017 | 32 | €3.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Carlos Cuéllar Premier League · 2013 | 32 | €3.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Abdoulay Konko Serie A · 2013 | 29 | €7.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Federico Balzaretti Serie A · 2013 | 32 | €3.5M | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sept 2025 | Al-Nassr | Athletic Club | €10.0M | €15.0M |
| 24 Aug 2023 | Man City | Al-Nassr | €27.5M | €25.0M |
| 30 Jan 2018 | Athletic Club | Man City | €65.0M | €25.0M |
| 17 Dec 2012 | Bilbao Athletic | Athletic Club | Unknown | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | CD Basconia | Bilbao Athletic | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Bilbao U19 | CD Basconia | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Bayonne FC U17 | Bilbao U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | SU Agen Jugend | Bayonne FC U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.