Abdoulaye Touré

32 yrs · Defensive midfielder (also CM) · Guinea
Le Havre AC · Ligue 1 · Foot: right · Height: 188 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€2.5M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€730k – €3.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€894k – €2.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€650k – €1.6M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€2.1M – €2.0M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€730k – €3.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€894k – €2.8M
Projected value (24 months)€650k – €1.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Abdoulaye Touré's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-2.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-3.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-1.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.91x the positional average in the league (741 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceAbove average59.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable32.3 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.6M vs market €2.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-63% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.88
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €10.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
741 (24% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.24
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.24
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
60 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.88 (rank 5)
Team strength (Elo)
1361
Opponent strength
1440
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€650k – €1.6M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 52 pts; relative output down 39% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -67% (IQR -71% to -58%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Small sample: 741 league minutes last season.
  • ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Le Havre ACLigue 1DM1174124%200.240.24144013610.88
2024/25Le Havre ACLigue 1DM28233176%1010.420.40146813330.88
2023/24Le Havre ACLigue 1DM30228875%200.080.12148113510.87
2021/22Genoa CFCSerie ACM843313%000.000.13141713250.89
2021/22Fatih KaragümrükSuper LigCM1043013%010.210.23123312780.42
2020/21FC NantesLigue 1DM29168349%220.210.23143013760.75
2019/20FC NantesLigue 1DM27222088%300.120.12142514140.82
2018/19FC NantesLigue 1DM34275180%340.230.23147514160.82
2017/18FC NantesLigue 1DM36281182%120.100.11145714130.85
2016/17FC NantesLigue 1DM1237011%000.000.10145214230.88
2015/16FC NantesLigue 1DM42016%000.000.13151113560.78
2013/14FC NantesLigue 1DM1231%000.000.12141914030.79

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2021/22Italy CupGenoa CFC1100—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Didier Digard
Ligue 1 · 2015
29€3.0M€800kfell
Florian Tardieu
Ligue 1 · 2023
31€2.0M€600kfell
Tino Costa
Premier Liga · 2015
30€4.5M€1.5Mfell
Christian Noboa
Premier Liga · 2018
33€2.0M€950kfell
Davide Faraoni
Serie A · 2023
32€3.0M€1.5Mfell
William Carvalho
Laliga · 2024
32€3.0M€1.0Mfell
Thomas Monconduit
Ligue 1 · 2021
30€2.0M€800kfell
Randall Azofeifa
Super Lig · 2014
30€2.5M€450kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
26 Jul 2023GenoaLe Havre ACFree / loan€1.3M
30 Jun 2022KaragümrükGenoaFree / loan€2.5M
21 Jan 2022GenoaKaragümrükFree / loan€3.5M
31 Aug 2021FC NantesGenoa€3.5M€4.0M
30 Jun 2015Poiré-sur-VieFC NantesFree / loan€150k
13 Jan 2015FC NantesPoiré-sur-VieFree / loan€150k
1 Jul 2014FC Nantes BFC NantesUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012FC Nantes U19FC Nantes BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2011FC Nantes U17FC Nantes U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2009FC Nantes Yth.FC Nantes U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2006Vertou JugendFC Nantes Yth.Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Abdoulaye Touré · MoneyballAI