
Abdoulaye Touré
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Abdoulaye Touré's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-2.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-3.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-1.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.91x the positional average in the league (741 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Above average | 59.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.6M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -63% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 741 (24% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.24
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.24
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 60 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1361
- Opponent strength
- 1440
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €650k – €1.6M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 52 pts; relative output down 39% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -67% (IQR -71% to -58%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 741 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Le Havre AC | Ligue 1 | DM | 11 | 741 | 24% | 2 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 1440 | 1361 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Le Havre AC | Ligue 1 | DM | 28 | 2331 | 76% | 10 | 1 | 0.42 | 0.40 | 1468 | 1333 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | Le Havre AC | Ligue 1 | DM | 30 | 2288 | 75% | 2 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 1481 | 1351 | 0.87 |
| 2021/22 | Genoa CFC | Serie A | CM | 8 | 433 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1417 | 1325 | 0.89 |
| 2021/22 | Fatih Karagümrük | Super Lig | CM | 10 | 430 | 13% | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 1233 | 1278 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | DM | 29 | 1683 | 49% | 2 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 1430 | 1376 | 0.75 |
| 2019/20 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | DM | 27 | 2220 | 88% | 3 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 1425 | 1414 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | DM | 34 | 2751 | 80% | 3 | 4 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 1475 | 1416 | 0.82 |
| 2017/18 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | DM | 36 | 2811 | 82% | 1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 1457 | 1413 | 0.85 |
| 2016/17 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | DM | 12 | 370 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1452 | 1423 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | DM | 4 | 201 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1511 | 1356 | 0.78 |
| 2013/14 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | DM | 1 | 23 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1419 | 1403 | 0.79 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Genoa CFC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Didier Digard Ligue 1 · 2015 | 29 | €3.0M | €800k | fell |
| Florian Tardieu Ligue 1 · 2023 | 31 | €2.0M | €600k | fell |
| Tino Costa Premier Liga · 2015 | 30 | €4.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Christian Noboa Premier Liga · 2018 | 33 | €2.0M | €950k | fell |
| Davide Faraoni Serie A · 2023 | 32 | €3.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| William Carvalho Laliga · 2024 | 32 | €3.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Thomas Monconduit Ligue 1 · 2021 | 30 | €2.0M | €800k | fell |
| Randall Azofeifa Super Lig · 2014 | 30 | €2.5M | €450k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2023 | Genoa | Le Havre AC | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Karagümrük | Genoa | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 21 Jan 2022 | Genoa | Karagümrük | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 31 Aug 2021 | FC Nantes | Genoa | €3.5M | €4.0M |
| 30 Jun 2015 | Poiré-sur-Vie | FC Nantes | Free / loan | €150k |
| 13 Jan 2015 | FC Nantes | Poiré-sur-Vie | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | FC Nantes B | FC Nantes | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | FC Nantes U19 | FC Nantes B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | FC Nantes U17 | FC Nantes U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | FC Nantes Yth. | FC Nantes U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2006 | Vertou Jugend | FC Nantes Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.