Scott Pittman
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Scott Pittman's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.14x the positional average in the league (2354 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Below average | 9.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 34 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €34k vs market €50k |
| Expected appreciation | High | +14% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2354 (79% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.23
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.46
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 10 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 981
- Opponent strength
- 1235
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €30k – €105k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -45% (IQR -53% to -32%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 11 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 10 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–107%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 80%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | AM | 31 | 2354 | 79% | 4 | 2 | 0.23 | 0.46 | 1235 | 981 | 0.31 |
| 2023/24 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | AM | 24 | 1992 | 67% | 2 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.26 | 1280 | 1041 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | AM | 30 | 2206 | 74% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.15 | 1321 | 1186 | 0.40 |
| 2021/22 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | AM | 23 | 1694 | 57% | 3 | 2 | 0.27 | 0.36 | 1315 | 1278 | 0.50 |
| 2020/21 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | AM | 33 | 2872 | 97% | 7 | 3 | 0.31 | 0.39 | 1313 | 1325 | 0.54 |
| 2019/20 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | AM | 23 | 2070 | 77% | 3 | 3 | 0.26 | 0.35 | 1288 | 1315 | 0.52 |
| 2018/19 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | CM | 33 | 2926 | 99% | 4 | 5 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 1311 | 1266 | 0.44 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Livingston FC | 1 | 30 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Scottish Fa Cup | Livingston FC | 2 | 123 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Scottish Fa Cup | Livingston FC | 2 | 148 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Scottish Fa Cup | Livingston FC | 2 | 209 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Scottish Fa Cup | Livingston FC | 2 | 233 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Scottish Fa Cup | Livingston FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Scottish Fa Cup | Livingston FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruslan Chernenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 32 | €200k | €100k | fell |
| Andrew Shinnie Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 35 | €150k | €50k | fell |
| Yegor Kartushov Premier Liga · 2023 | 32 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Yaroslav Martynyuk Premier Liga · 2023 | 34 | €200k | €75k | fell |
| Darian Mackinnon Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 34 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Emmanuel Koné Super League 1 · 2019 | 32 | €250k | €150k | fell |
| Panagiotis Korbos Super League 1 · 2020 | 35 | €200k | €100k | fell |
| Lasse Fosgaard Superliga · 2020 | 34 | €250k | €150k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Feb 2015 | Bo'ness United | Livingston FC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Broxburn FC | Bo'ness United | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Hamilton A. U20 | Broxburn FC | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 May 2011 | Alloa Athletic | Hamilton A. U20 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Mar 2011 | Hamilton A. U20 | Alloa Athletic | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.