Manolis Siopis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Manolis Siopis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.42x the positional average in the league (990 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 27
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 48.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €401k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -59% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 990 (42% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.05
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 48 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1465
- Opponent strength
- 1247
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €268k – €852k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -40% (IQR -50% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 990 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | DM | 19 | 990 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1247 | 1465 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | DM | 5 | 294 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1171 | 1402 | 0.35 |
| 2022/23 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | DM | 30 | 2073 | 64% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1292 | 1377 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | DM | 32 | 1694 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1257 | 1433 | 0.42 |
| 2021/22 | Alanyaspor | Super Lig | DM | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1266 | 1322 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Alanyaspor | Super Lig | DM | 35 | 2380 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1267 | 1260 | 0.37 |
| 2019/20 | Alanyaspor | Super Lig | DM | 27 | 2131 | 70% | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 1335 | 1352 | 0.45 |
| 2018/19 | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | DM | 25 | 1999 | 74% | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 1323 | 1272 | 0.43 |
| 2017/18 | Panionios Athens | Super League 1 | DM | 16 | 1247 | 46% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 1275 | 1303 | 0.48 |
| 2017/18 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | DM | 1 | 19 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1187 | 1484 | 0.48 |
| 2016/17 | Panionios Athens | Super League 1 | DM | 28 | 2516 | 93% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1295 | 1334 | 0.44 |
| 2015/16 | Panionios Athens | Super League 1 | DM | 29 | 2419 | 90% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1316 | 1290 | 0.46 |
| 2014/15 | Panionios Athens | Super League 1 | DM | 21 | 1427 | 47% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1315 | 1273 | 0.44 |
| 2013/14 | AO Platanias | Super League 1 | DM | 16 | 791 | 26% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1320 | 1265 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 8 | 392 | 0 | 0 | 1471 |
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 3 | 156 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 3 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1403 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1454 |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Cardiff City | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Trabzonspor | 4 | 284 | 0 | 0 | 1536 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 2 | 148 | 0 | 0 | 1480 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 1 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1609 |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | Aris Thessalonikis | 2 | 127 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Kypello Elladas | Panionios Athens | 3 | 240 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 2 | 93 | 0 | 0 | 1412 |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | Panionios Athens | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Kypello Elladas | Panionios Athens | 6 | 422 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Kypello Elladas | Panionios Athens | 5 | 340 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Kypello Elladas | AO Platanias | 2 | 145 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Jack Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 31 | €3.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Tom Lawrence Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 30 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Rodolfo Pizarro Super League 1 · 2024 | 30 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Mário Fernandes Premier Liga · 2024 | 34 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Omar El Kaddouri Super League 1 · 2023 | 33 | €1.0M | €600k | fell |
| Thomas Matton Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 32 | €800k | €800k | flat |
| Jonny Hayes Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 32 | €800k | €600k | fell |
| Nenad Krsticic Super League 1 · 2019 | 29 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2025 | Cardiff | Panathinaikos | €800k | €2.2M |
| 18 Aug 2023 | Trabzonspor | Cardiff | Free / loan | €5.5M |
| 18 Aug 2021 | Alanyaspor | Trabzonspor | €1.0M | €2.7M |
| 2 Jul 2019 | Aris Saloniki | Alanyaspor | €500k | €1.0M |
| 29 Aug 2018 | Olympiacos | Aris Saloniki | €100k | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Panionios | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 30 Aug 2017 | Olympiacos | Panionios | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Panionios | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 2 Jan 2017 | Olympiacos | Panionios | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Panionios | Olympiacos | €150k | €1.0M |
| 1 Aug 2014 | Olympiacos | Panionios | Free / loan | €350k |
| 30 Jun 2014 | Platanias | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €350k |
| 7 Aug 2013 | Olympiacos | Platanias | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Olympiacos U20 | Olympiacos | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.