Jean-Philippe Gbamin
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jean-Philippe Gbamin's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-2.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-1.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 32
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 64.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.3M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -44% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2489 (81% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.12
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 64 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1225
- Opponent strength
- 1494
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €591k – €1.6M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -52% (IQR -72% to -50%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Metz | Ligue 1 | CB | 31 | 2489 | 81% | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 1494 | 1225 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | CB | 14 | 210 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1481 | 1357 | 0.88 |
| 2022/23 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | DM | 19 | 922 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1285 | 1377 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | PFK CSKA Moskva | Premier Liga | DM | 11 | 961 | 36% | 2 | 2 | 0.37 | 0.18 | 1336 | 1363 | 0.52 |
| 2021/22 | Everton FC | Premier League | DM | 3 | 65 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1618 | 1474 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Everton FC | Premier League | DM | 1 | 11 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1470 | 1561 | 1.19 |
| 2019/20 | Everton FC | Premier League | DM | 2 | 135 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1503 | 1525 | 1.14 |
| 2018/19 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | DM | 31 | 2674 | 87% | 2 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 1529 | 1488 | 1.05 |
| 2017/18 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | DM | 30 | 2590 | 85% | 1 | 3 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 1509 | 1444 | 1.04 |
| 2016/17 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | DM | 25 | 1825 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1501 | 1450 | 1.06 |
| 2014/15 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | CB | 33 | 2716 | 79% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1426 | 1261 | 0.80 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Ivory Coast | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Trabzonspor | 4 | 231 | 0 | 0 | 1531 |
| 2021/22 | Russian Cup | PFK CSKA Moskva | 2 | 132 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Everton FC | 1 | 32 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2 | 196 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 422 | 0 | 0 | 1468 |
| 2016/17 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mattia Caldara Serie A · 2022 | 28 | €3.5M | €800k | fell |
| Taras Burlak Premier Liga · 2019 | 29 | €1.5M | €700k | fell |
| Kader Mangane Super Lig · 2014 | 31 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Bakary Koné Ligue 1 · 2018 | 30 | €1.5M | €400k | fell |
| Kirill Kombarov Premier Liga · 2015 | 28 | €2.5M | €700k | fell |
| Mathieu Bodmer Ligue 1 · 2014 | 32 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Sebastien De Maio Serie A · 2018 | 31 | €1.4M | €725k | fell |
| Simone Romagnoli Serie A · 2024 | 34 | €800k | €800k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2025 | FC Zürich | FC Metz | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 3 Feb 2025 | FC Nantes | FC Zürich | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 27 Aug 2024 | USL Dunkerque | FC Nantes | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 7 Nov 2023 | Without Club | USL Dunkerque | Unknown | €4.0M |
| 1 Sept 2023 | Everton | Without Club | Unknown | €4.8M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Trabzonspor | Everton | Free / loan | €4.8M |
| 26 Aug 2022 | Everton | Trabzonspor | Free / loan | €9.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | CSKA Moscow | Everton | Free / loan | €9.0M |
| 21 Feb 2022 | Everton | CSKA Moscow | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 2 Aug 2019 | Mainz | Everton | €25.0M | €28.0M |
| 13 Jul 2016 | Lens | Mainz | €5.0M | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2013 | RC Lens B | Lens | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | RC Lens U17 | RC Lens B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Lens Yth. | RC Lens U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.