Mike van der Hoorn

The model rates Mike van der Hoorn's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

2202 (72% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.08

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.06

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

63 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.43 (rank 15)

Team strength (Elo)

1352

Opponent strength

1290

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€237k – €573k

Trajectory drivers: relative output down 54% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -59% (IQR -62% to -48%).

• ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

82 (DEF)

Relative output kept

65%–166%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

78%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.