Sokratis Dioudis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Sokratis Dioudis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Below average | 15.1th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €69k vs market €200k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -18% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1045 (34% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 15 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1253
- Opponent strength
- 1209
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €96k – €201k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 17 pts; changed club.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -47% (IQR -81% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1045 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 58 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–179%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 60%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | GK | 12 | 1022 | 44% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1209 | 1255 | 0.43 |
| 2025/26 | Gaziantep FK | Super Lig | GK | 1 | 23 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1557 | 1167 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Gaziantep FK | Super Lig | GK | 20 | 1659 | 51% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1282 | 1198 | 0.39 |
| 2021/22 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | GK | 9 | 810 | 35% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1194 | 1348 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | GK | 25 | 2250 | 96% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1257 | 1362 | 0.39 |
| 2019/20 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | GK | 25 | 2250 | 96% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1313 | 1365 | 0.46 |
| 2018/19 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | GK | 26 | 2302 | 85% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1299 | 1306 | 0.43 |
| 2017/18 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | GK | 5 | 450 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1337 | 1349 | 0.48 |
| 2015/16 | Panionios Athens | Super League 1 | GK | 18 | 1620 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1317 | 1290 | 0.46 |
| 2013/14 | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | GK | 32 | 2880 | 94% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1348 | 1191 | 0.52 |
| 2012/13 | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | GK | 12 | 1080 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1366 | 1311 | 0.57 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Kypello Elladas | Panionios Athens | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Kypello Elladas | Aris Thessalonikis | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2012/13 | Kypello Elladas | Aris Thessalonikis | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Reguero Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 33 | €250k | €50k | fell |
| Nikolaos Papadopoulos Super League 1 · 2022 | 32 | €350k | €250k | fell |
| Paul Gallacher Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 36 | €250k | €200k | fell |
| Dusan Pernis Super League 1 · 2016 | 32 | €300k | €250k | flat |
| Martin Hansen Superliga · 2024 | 34 | €150k | €25k | fell |
| Georgios Kantimiris Super League 1 · 2016 | 34 | €250k | €100k | fell |
| Ramazan Köse Super Lig · 2021 | 33 | €200k | €25k | fell |
| Andriy Klishchuk Premier Liga · 2023 | 31 | €300k | €400k | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Sept 2025 | Gaziantep FK | Aris Saloniki | Free / loan | €225k |
| 14 Jul 2024 | Zaglebie Lubin | Gaziantep FK | Free / loan | €450k |
| 27 Jan 2023 | Panathinaikos | Zaglebie Lubin | Free / loan | €750k |
| 8 Aug 2017 | Aris Saloniki | Panathinaikos | €150k | €450k |
| 29 Jul 2016 | Club Brugge | Aris Saloniki | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Panionios | Club Brugge | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Club Brugge | Panionios | Free / loan | €600k |
| 22 Jul 2014 | Aris Saloniki | Club Brugge | €265k | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Aris U20 | Aris Saloniki | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.