Jordan Lefort
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jordan Lefort's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-2.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 7
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 61.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €697k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -56% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3060 (100% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.06
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 61 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1306
- Opponent strength
- 1471
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €270k – €724k
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 33% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -68% (IQR -76% to -35%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Angers SCO | Ligue 1 | CB | 34 | 3060 | 100% | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0.09 | 1471 | 1306 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Angers SCO | Ligue 1 | CB | 34 | 3060 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 1467 | 1291 | 0.88 |
| 2019/20 | Amiens SC | Ligue 1 | CB | 10 | 840 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 1459 | 1314 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Amiens SC | Ligue 1 | CB | 23 | 1805 | 53% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 1469 | 1348 | 0.82 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denys Kulakov Premier Liga · 2018 | 32 | €1.0M | €600k | fell |
| Fabio Lucioni Serie A · 2020 | 33 | €725k | €600k | flat |
| Simone Iacoponi Serie A · 2020 | 33 | €1.2M | €300k | fell |
| Bruno Ecuele Manga Ligue 1 · 2021 | 33 | €1.2M | €250k | fell |
| Matías Silvestre Serie A · 2019 | 35 | €800k | €200k | fell |
| Jérémy Sorbon Ligue 1 · 2016 | 33 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Aleksandr Belozerov Premier Liga · 2013 | 32 | €700k | €100k | fell |
| Danilo Serie A · 2017 | 33 | €2.0M | €800k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Paris FC | Angers SCO | Free / loan | €900k |
| 30 Aug 2022 | Young Boys | Paris FC | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 13 Aug 2020 | Amiens SC | Young Boys | €1.0M | €1.6M |
| 12 Aug 2020 | Young Boys | Amiens SC | Free / loan | €1.6M |
| 4 Feb 2020 | Amiens SC | Young Boys | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Quevilly Rouen | Amiens SC | Free / loan | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Amiens SC | Quevilly Rouen | Free / loan | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Amiens SC B | Amiens SC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | R. Strasbourg B | Amiens SC B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2011 | Strasbourg U19 | R. Strasbourg B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Montferrand U17 | Strasbourg U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.