
André Silva
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates André Silva's performance-implied value at EUR 2.4M-5.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-2.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-2.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.22x the positional average in the league (1853 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 54
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 67.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.3M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -48% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1853 (54% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.49
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.62
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 67 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1389
- Opponent strength
- 1509
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €839k – €2.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 38 pts; changed club; team strength down (-106 Elo); relative output up 37% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -38% (IQR -57% to -24%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Elche CF | Laliga | ST | 31 | 1853 | 54% | 10 | 0 | 0.49 | 0.62 | 1509 | 1389 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | SV Werder Bremen | Bundesliga | ST | 7 | 377 | 12% | 1 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.48 | 1572 | 1483 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | ST | 8 | 124 | 4% | 1 | 2 | 2.18 | 0.43 | 1446 | 1533 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | ST | 19 | 728 | 21% | 3 | 0 | 0.37 | 0.36 | 1453 | 1588 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | ST | 31 | 1741 | 57% | 4 | 4 | 0.41 | 0.33 | 1517 | 1685 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | ST | 33 | 2080 | 68% | 11 | 5 | 0.69 | 0.47 | 1513 | 1663 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | ST | 32 | 2773 | 91% | 28 | 8 | 1.17 | 0.79 | 1512 | 1602 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | ST | 25 | 1580 | 52% | 12 | 4 | 0.91 | 0.63 | 1513 | 1535 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | AC Milan | Serie A | ST | 1 | 61 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.34 | 1361 | 1590 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | ST | 27 | 2164 | 63% | 9 | 2 | 0.46 | 0.41 | 1545 | 1577 | 1.14 |
| 2017/18 | AC Milan | Serie A | ST | 24 | 924 | 27% | 2 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.34 | 1506 | 1555 | 0.86 |
| 2016/17 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | ST | 32 | 2456 | 80% | 16 | 6 | 0.81 | 0.51 | 1340 | 1545 | 0.58 |
| 2015/16 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | ST | 9 | 420 | 14% | 1 | 2 | 0.64 | 0.37 | 1349 | 1515 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Elche CF | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 3 | 97 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | RB Leipzig | 4 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 1754 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | SV Werder Bremen | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 5 | 244 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Real Sociedad | 2 | 92 | 0 | 0 | 1741 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | RB Leipzig | 8 | 533 | 3 | 2 | 1677 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 4 | 270 | 2 | 3 | — |
| 2022/23 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | RB Leipzig | 1 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 1847 |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 6 | 423 | 2 | 2 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | RB Leipzig | 6 | 410 | 3 | 1 | 1720 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | RB Leipzig | 6 | 307 | 1 | 1 | 1609 |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 180 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 658 | 2 | 1 | 1607 |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 268 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Sevilla FC | 6 | 314 | 0 | 0 | 1530 |
| 2018/19 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 4 | 242 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Sevilla FC | 2 | 89 | 0 | 1 | 1408 |
| 2018/19 | Supercopa | Sevilla FC | 1 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1851 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | AC Milan | 10 | 721 | 6 | 0 | 1488 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | AC Milan | 4 | 223 | 2 | 1 | 1415 |
| 2017/18 | Italy Cup | AC Milan | 2 | 97 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | FC Porto | 8 | 603 | 4 | 2 | 1576 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Porto | 2 | 156 | 1 | 0 | 1667 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mattia Destro Serie A · 2021 | 30 | €2.5M | €1.3M | fell |
| Mbaye Diagne Premier League · 2021 | 30 | €3.0M | €2.2M | fell |
| Florian Thauvin Serie A · 2024 | 31 | €3.0M | €5.0M | rose |
| Modou Sougou Ligue 1 · 2014 | 30 | €2.5M | €750k | fell |
| Ishak Belfodil Bundesliga · 2022 | 30 | €2.2M | €1.7M | fell |
| Ola Toivonen Ligue 1 · 2017 | 31 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| André Hahn Bundesliga · 2021 | 31 | €2.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Issiar Dia Ligue 1 · 2017 | 30 | €2.0M | €100k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Elche CF | Without Club | Unknown | €3.0M |
| 18 Aug 2025 | Leipzig | Elche CF | €1.0M | €4.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Werder Bremen | Leipzig | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 3 Feb 2025 | Leipzig | Werder Bremen | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Real Sociedad | Leipzig | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 2 Aug 2023 | Leipzig | Real Sociedad | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 2 Jul 2021 | Frankfurt | Leipzig | €23.0M | €45.0M |
| 10 Sept 2020 | AC Milan | Frankfurt | €3.0M | €24.0M |
| 9 Sept 2020 | Frankfurt | AC Milan | Free / loan | €24.0M |
| 2 Sept 2019 | AC Milan | Frankfurt | Free / loan | €22.0M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Sevilla FC | AC Milan | Free / loan | €22.0M |
| 11 Aug 2018 | AC Milan | Sevilla FC | Free / loan | €22.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Porto | AC Milan | €38.0M | €22.0M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | FC Porto B | Porto | Unknown | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2013 | FC Porto U19 | FC Porto B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | FC Porto U17 | FC Porto U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Padroense U17 | FC Porto U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Salgueiros Y15 | Padroense U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Boavista CJ | Salgueiros Y15 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2007 | Salgueiros Y | Boavista CJ | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.