
Robin Pröpper
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Robin Pröpper's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 7
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 59.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €702k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -63% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1717 (56% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.02
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 59 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1403
- Opponent strength
- 1301
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €297k – €827k
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-60 Elo); league level up (+53 Elo); relative output down 56% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -68% to -49%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1717 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | CB | 28 | 1717 | 56% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1301 | 1403 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Rangers FC | Scottish Premiership | CB | 25 | 1849 | 62% | 2 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 1216 | 1463 | 0.34 |
| 2023/24 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | CB | 33 | 2755 | 90% | 3 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 1345 | 1466 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | CB | 29 | 2482 | 81% | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.07 | 1364 | 1505 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | CB | 33 | 2850 | 93% | 5 | 2 | 0.22 | 0.18 | 1350 | 1435 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | CB | 30 | 2664 | 87% | 1 | 3 | 0.14 | 0.12 | 1357 | 1303 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | CB | 18 | 1536 | 66% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1337 | 1330 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | CB | 5 | 413 | 13% | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | 0.12 | 1410 | 1302 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | CB | 26 | 2203 | 72% | 4 | 1 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 1325 | 1304 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | CB | 18 | 1183 | 39% | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 1351 | 1303 | 0.54 |
| 2015/16 | De Graafschap Doetinchem | Eredivisie | CB | 31 | 2509 | 82% | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 1328 | 1194 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 3 | 260 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Rangers FC | 10 | 694 | 0 | 0 | 1535 |
| 2024/25 | Scottish Fa Cup | Rangers FC | 2 | 152 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Rangers FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1483 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Twente Enschede | 6 | 485 | 0 | 0 | 1434 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Twente Enschede | 4 | 279 | 1 | 0 | 1424 |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 2 | 167 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | Heracles Almelo | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | Heracles Almelo | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | Heracles Almelo | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Heracles Almelo | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1345 |
| 2015/16 | Knvb Beker | De Graafschap Doetinchem | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bart Schenkeveld Super League 1 · 2024 | 33 | €1.2M | €600k | fell |
| Lucas Lima Super Lig · 2022 | 31 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Christos Bourbos Super League 1 · 2015 | 32 | €450k | €150k | fell |
| Welinton Super Lig · 2022 | 33 | €1.0M | €125k | fell |
| Giannis Kotsiras Super League 1 · 2023 | 31 | €800k | €600k | fell |
| Niklas Hult Super League 1 · 2019 | 29 | €1.3M | €700k | fell |
| Ron Vlaar Eredivisie · 2017 | 32 | €2.5M | €750k | fell |
| Marat Bystrov Premier Liga · 2023 | 31 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2025 | Rangers | FC Twente | €1.7M | €2.0M |
| 1 Aug 2024 | FC Twente | Rangers | €3.2M | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Heracles Almelo | FC Twente | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | De Graafschap | Heracles Almelo | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Graafschap U19 | De Graafschap | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Graafschap U17 | Graafschap U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | VIT/AGOVV U17 | Graafschap U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.