Robin Pröpper

33 yrs · Centre-back · Netherlands
FC Twente Enschede · Eredivisie · Foot: right · Height: 190 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€1.2M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€334k – €1.2M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€705k – €1.4M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€297k – €827k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€507k – €1.0M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€334k – €1.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€705k – €1.4M
Projected value (24 months)€297k – €827k
Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Robin Pröpper's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 7

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average59.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable32.8 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €702k vs market €1.2M
Expected appreciationVery low-63% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €3.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1717 (56% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.02
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
59 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1403
Opponent strength
1301
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€297k – €827k

Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-60 Elo); league level up (+53 Elo); relative output down 56% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -68% to -49%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1717 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
82 (DEF)
Relative output kept
65%–166%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
78%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC Twente EnschedeEredivisieCB28171756%000.000.02130114030.43
2024/25Rangers FCScottish PremiershipCB25184962%200.100.05121614630.34
2023/24FC Twente EnschedeEredivisieCB33275590%300.100.06134514660.48
2022/23FC Twente EnschedeEredivisieCB29248281%120.110.07136415050.58
2021/22FC Twente EnschedeEredivisieCB33285093%520.220.18135014350.60
2020/21Heracles AlmeloEredivisieCB30266487%130.140.12135713030.56
2019/20Heracles AlmeloEredivisieCB18153666%010.060.06133713300.62
2018/19Heracles AlmeloEredivisieCB541313%010.220.12141013020.61
2017/18Heracles AlmeloEredivisieCB26220372%410.200.15132513040.59
2016/17Heracles AlmeloEredivisieCB18118339%020.150.11135113030.54
2015/16De Graafschap DoetinchemEredivisieCB31250982%200.070.08132811940.58

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Knvb BekerFC Twente Enschede326000—
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueRangers FC10694001535
2024/25Scottish Fa CupRangers FC215200—
2024/25Uefa Champions League QualifyingRangers FC190001483
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingFC Twente Enschede6485001434
2023/24Knvb BekerFC Twente Enschede19000—
2022/23Uefa Conference League QualifyingFC Twente Enschede4279101424
2022/23Knvb BekerFC Twente Enschede216700—
2021/22Knvb BekerFC Twente Enschede330000—
2020/21Knvb BekerHeracles Almelo19000—
2017/18Knvb BekerHeracles Almelo19000—
2016/17Knvb BekerHeracles Almelo221000—
2016/17Uefa Europa League QualifyingHeracles Almelo224001345
2015/16Knvb BekerDe Graafschap Doetinchem19000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Bart Schenkeveld
Super League 1 · 2024
33€1.2M€600kfell
Lucas Lima
Super Lig · 2022
31€2.0M€1.0Mfell
Christos Bourbos
Super League 1 · 2015
32€450k€150kfell
Welinton
Super Lig · 2022
33€1.0M€125kfell
Giannis Kotsiras
Super League 1 · 2023
31€800k€600kfell
Niklas Hult
Super League 1 · 2019
29€1.3M€700kfell
Ron Vlaar
Eredivisie · 2017
32€2.5M€750kfell
Marat Bystrov
Premier Liga · 2023
31€1.0M€500kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
26 Jul 2025RangersFC Twente€1.7M€2.0M
1 Aug 2024FC TwenteRangers€3.2M€3.0M
1 Jul 2021Heracles AlmeloFC TwenteFree / loan€800k
1 Jul 2016De GraafschapHeracles AlmeloFree / loan€350k
1 Jul 2012Graafschap U19De GraafschapUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Graafschap U17Graafschap U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2009VIT/AGOVV U17Graafschap U17Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.