
Giannis Kotsiras
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Giannis Kotsiras's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 37.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €245k vs market €450k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -39% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 608 (26% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 38 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1465
- Opponent strength
- 1203
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €137k – €405k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -55% to -22%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 608 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | RB | 11 | 608 | 26% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1203 | 1465 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | RB | 7 | 420 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1247 | 1402 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | RB | 22 | 1556 | 66% | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 1276 | 1453 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | RB | 17 | 1216 | 52% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1219 | 1414 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | RB | 16 | 1181 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1250 | 1348 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | RB | 23 | 1869 | 80% | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 1288 | 1283 | 0.39 |
| 2019/20 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | RB | 23 | 1858 | 79% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1319 | 1245 | 0.46 |
| 2018/19 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | RB | 26 | 2069 | 77% | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 1282 | 1257 | 0.43 |
| 2017/18 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | RB | 18 | 1271 | 47% | 1 | 3 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 1309 | 1332 | 0.48 |
| 2016/17 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | RB | 9 | 354 | 13% | 0 | 2 | 0.51 | 0.28 | 1316 | 1217 | 0.44 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 6 | 369 | 0 | 1 | 1402 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 4 | 341 | 0 | 0 | 1372 |
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 4 | 320 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 95 | 0 | 0 | 1463 |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 3 | 221 | 0 | 1 | 1446 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 128 | 0 | 0 | 1531 |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 7 | 622 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1388 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 3 | 179 | 0 | 1 | 1520 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1557 |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 3 | 107 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 7 | 630 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 3 | 240 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 8 | 720 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1328 |
| 2017/18 | Kypello Elladas | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 2 | 146 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 5 | 367 | 1 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergey Petrov Premier Liga · 2024 | 33 | €500k | €250k | fell |
| Daniel Høegh Superliga · 2022 | 31 | €600k | €300k | fell |
| Bruno Godeau Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 30 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| İsmail Köybaşı Super Lig · 2022 | 33 | €200k | €50k | fell |
| Simon Poulsen Superliga · 2017 | 33 | €350k | €250k | fell |
| Lindsay Rose Super League 1 · 2024 | 32 | €250k | €125k | fell |
| Emilio Izaguirre Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 33 | €1.0M | €325k | fell |
| Yohan Mollo Super League 1 · 2021 | 32 | €350k | €350k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2021 | Asteras Tripoli | Panathinaikos | €250k | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Panarkadikos | Asteras Tripoli | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | AO Falesias | Panarkadikos | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | D. Megalopolis | AO Falesias | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.