Branco van den Boomen

31 yrs · Central midfielder · Netherlands
Angers SCO · Ligue 1 · Foot: right · Height: 188 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€2.5M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€772k – €2.8M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€523k – €1.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€537k – €1.7M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€2.3M – €1.1M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€772k – €2.8M
Model value (performance-implied)€523k – €1.8M
Projected value (24 months)€537k – €1.7M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Branco van den Boomen's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.82x the positional average in the league (1242 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 11

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage47.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.9 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €1.4M vs market €2.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-62% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.88
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €12.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1242 (41% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.07
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.18
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
47 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.88 (rank 5)
Team strength (Elo)
1306
Opponent strength
1464
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€537k – €1.7M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 20 pts; changed club; team strength down (-199 Elo); league level up (+147 Elo); relative output up 182% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -44% (IQR -62% to -20%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1242 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Angers SCOLigue 1CM15124241%010.070.18146413060.88
2024/25Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieCM1262921%000.000.06122415050.50
2023/24Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieCM21106835%210.250.16136914390.48
2022/23FC ToulouseLigue 1CM35289285%580.400.55144213470.82
2016/17Willem II TilburgEredivisieCM852617%000.000.19136412270.54
2015/16SC HeerenveenEredivisieCM23142246%130.250.24133313120.58

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Knvb BekerAjax Amsterdam14500—
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueAjax Amsterdam7359101555
2024/25Uefa Europa League QualifyingAjax Amsterdam6182101429
2024/25Knvb BekerAjax Amsterdam14501—
2023/24Uefa Europa League QualifyingAjax Amsterdam264001419
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueAjax Amsterdam342001572
2016/17Knvb BekerWillem II Tilburg13600—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Lucas Castro
Serie A · 2020
31€3.2M€400kfell
Wesley Lautoa
Ligue 1 · 2017
30€2.0M€2.0Mflat
Marco Benassi
Serie A · 2023
29€1.5M€1.2Mfell
Sebastian Larsson
Premier League · 2017
32€2.5M€1.3Mfell
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
Serie A · 2023
31€1.5M€500kfell
Ahmad Benali
Serie A · 2021
29€1.5M€900kfell
Prince Oniangué
Ligue 1 · 2018
30€1.5M€1.2Mfell
Benjamin Corgnet
Ligue 1 · 2018
31€1.0M€400kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026Angers SCOAjaxFree / loan€2.5M
21 Jan 2026AjaxAngers SCOFree / loan€2.5M
1 Jul 2023ToulouseAjaxFree / loan€12.0M
7 Aug 2020De GraafschapToulouse€350k€550k
28 Aug 2019FC EindhovenDe Graafschap€325k€600k
1 Jul 2017HeerenveenFC EindhovenFree / loan€500k
30 Jun 2017Willem IIHeerenveenFree / loan€500k
10 Aug 2016HeerenveenWillem IIFree / loan€750k
1 Jul 2015FC EindhovenHeerenveenUnknown€175k
1 Jul 2014Ajax U21FC EindhovenFree / loan€75k
1 Jul 2013Ajax U19Ajax U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Ajax U17Ajax U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2011Willem II/RKC-17Ajax U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Willem II/RKC Y.Willem II/RKC-17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2004RKVVO JeugdWillem II YouthUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.