
Branco van den Boomen
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Branco van den Boomen's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.82x the positional average in the league (1242 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 11
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 47.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.4M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -62% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1242 (41% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.18
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 47 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1306
- Opponent strength
- 1464
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €537k – €1.7M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 20 pts; changed club; team strength down (-199 Elo); league level up (+147 Elo); relative output up 182% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -44% (IQR -62% to -20%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1242 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Angers SCO | Ligue 1 | CM | 15 | 1242 | 41% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.18 | 1464 | 1306 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 12 | 629 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1224 | 1505 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 21 | 1068 | 35% | 2 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.16 | 1369 | 1439 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | CM | 35 | 2892 | 85% | 5 | 8 | 0.40 | 0.55 | 1442 | 1347 | 0.82 |
| 2016/17 | Willem II Tilburg | Eredivisie | CM | 8 | 526 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 1364 | 1227 | 0.54 |
| 2015/16 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | CM | 23 | 1422 | 46% | 1 | 3 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 1333 | 1312 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 7 | 359 | 1 | 0 | 1555 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 6 | 182 | 1 | 0 | 1429 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 45 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1419 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 3 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 1572 |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | Willem II Tilburg | 1 | 36 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Castro Serie A · 2020 | 31 | €3.2M | €400k | fell |
| Wesley Lautoa Ligue 1 · 2017 | 30 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Marco Benassi Serie A · 2023 | 29 | €1.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Sebastian Larsson Premier League · 2017 | 32 | €2.5M | €1.3M | fell |
| Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro Serie A · 2023 | 31 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
| Ahmad Benali Serie A · 2021 | 29 | €1.5M | €900k | fell |
| Prince Oniangué Ligue 1 · 2018 | 30 | €1.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Benjamin Corgnet Ligue 1 · 2018 | 31 | €1.0M | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Angers SCO | Ajax | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Ajax | Angers SCO | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Toulouse | Ajax | Free / loan | €12.0M |
| 7 Aug 2020 | De Graafschap | Toulouse | €350k | €550k |
| 28 Aug 2019 | FC Eindhoven | De Graafschap | €325k | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Heerenveen | FC Eindhoven | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Willem II | Heerenveen | Free / loan | €500k |
| 10 Aug 2016 | Heerenveen | Willem II | Free / loan | €750k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | FC Eindhoven | Heerenveen | Unknown | €175k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Ajax U21 | FC Eindhoven | Free / loan | €75k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Ajax U19 | Ajax U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Ajax U17 | Ajax U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Willem II/RKC-17 | Ajax U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Willem II/RKC Y. | Willem II/RKC-17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2004 | RKVVO Jeugd | Willem II Youth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.