
Taylan Antalyalı
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Taylan Antalyalı's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.63x the positional average in the league (1299 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 50
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 18.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €211k vs market €700k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -50% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1299 (43% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.08
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 19 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1229
- Opponent strength
- 1285
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €232k – €528k
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+62 Elo); relative output down 34% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -56% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1299 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Caykur Rizespor | Super Lig | DM | 28 | 1299 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1285 | 1229 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Bodrum FK | Super Lig | DM | 24 | 1857 | 57% | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 1304 | 1167 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Samsunspor | Super Lig | CM | 26 | 1778 | 52% | 2 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.22 | 1340 | 1217 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | MKE Ankaragücü | Super Lig | CM | 30 | 2143 | 66% | 3 | 4 | 0.29 | 0.31 | 1301 | 1226 | 0.50 |
| 2022/23 | Galatasaray | Super Lig | DM | 1 | 12 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1334 | 1535 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Galatasaray | Super Lig | DM | 30 | 2051 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1252 | 1326 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Galatasaray | Super Lig | DM | 34 | 2693 | 75% | 1 | 3 | 0.13 | 0.10 | 1281 | 1425 | 0.37 |
| 2019/20 | Galatasaray | Super Lig | CM | 15 | 639 | 21% | 1 | 3 | 0.56 | 0.25 | 1326 | 1384 | 0.45 |
| 2018/19 | Erzurumspor FK | Super Lig | CM | 31 | 2339 | 76% | 6 | 3 | 0.35 | 0.39 | 1391 | 1270 | 0.58 |
| 2014/15 | Gençlerbirliği Spor Kulübü | Super Lig | CM | 2 | 33 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 1442 | 1375 | 0.72 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Galatasaray | 7 | 618 | 0 | 0 | 1566 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Galatasaray | 4 | 342 | 0 | 0 | 1311 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Galatasaray | 3 | 270 | 0 | 1 | 1458 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campanharo Super Lig · 2022 | 30 | €1.2M | €1.2M | flat |
| James Jeggo Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 32 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Dmytro Myshnyov Premier Liga · 2024 | 30 | €500k | €250k | fell |
| Mahmut Tekdemir Super Lig · 2021 | 33 | €800k | €300k | fell |
| Celso Borges Super Lig · 2020 | 32 | €600k | €275k | fell |
| Andy Rose Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 29 | €400k | €450k | flat |
| Jens Cools Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 32 | €500k | €100k | fell |
| Rachid Hamdani Super League 1 · 2016 | 31 | €600k | €500k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2025 | Galatasaray | C. Rizespor | Free / loan | €900k |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Bodrum FK | Galatasaray | Free / loan | €900k |
| 7 Sept 2024 | Galatasaray | Bodrum FK | Free / loan | €1.6M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Samsunspor | Galatasaray | Free / loan | €1.6M |
| 25 Jul 2023 | Galatasaray | Samsunspor | Free / loan | €2.3M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Ankaragücü | Galatasaray | Free / loan | €2.3M |
| 8 Sept 2022 | Galatasaray | Ankaragücü | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 2 Sept 2019 | BB Erzurumspor | Galatasaray | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 17 Aug 2017 | Genclerbirligi | BB Erzurumspor | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Hacettepe | Genclerbirligi | Free / loan | €200k |
| 31 Aug 2016 | Genclerbirligi | Hacettepe | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2016 | K. Erciyesspor | Genclerbirligi | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Feb 2016 | Genclerbirligi | K. Erciyesspor | Free / loan | €500k |
| 13 Aug 2014 | Bucaspor | Genclerbirligi | €500k | €500k |
| 11 May 2012 | Bucaspor Yth | Bucaspor | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 13 Oct 2009 | Muglaspor Yth | Bucaspor Yth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.