Taylan Antalyalı

31 yrs · Defensive midfielder (also CM) · Türkiye
Caykur Rizespor · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 180 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€700k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€159k – €512k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€312k – €652k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€232k – €528k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€200k – €494k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€159k – €512k
Model value (performance-implied)€312k – €652k
Projected value (24 months)€232k – €528k
Dashed line: current market value (€700k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Taylan Antalyalı's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.63x the positional average in the league (1299 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 50

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average18.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable31.5 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €211k vs market €700k
Expected appreciationVery low-50% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €6.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1299 (43% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.08
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
19 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1229
Opponent strength
1285
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€232k – €528k

Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+62 Elo); relative output down 34% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -56% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1299 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
35 (MID)
Relative output kept
77%–144%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
69%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Caykur RizesporSuper LigDM28129942%000.000.08128512290.40
2024/25Bodrum FKSuper LigDM24185757%110.100.12130411670.39
2023/24SamsunsporSuper LigCM26177852%210.150.22134012170.45
2022/23MKE AnkaragücüSuper LigCM30214366%340.290.31130112260.50
2022/23GalatasaraySuper LigDM1120%000.000.13133415350.50
2021/22GalatasaraySuper LigDM30205160%000.000.03125213260.42
2020/21GalatasaraySuper LigDM34269375%130.130.10128114250.37
2019/20GalatasaraySuper LigCM1563921%130.560.25132613840.45
2018/19Erzurumspor FKSuper LigCM31233976%630.350.39139112700.58
2014/15Gençlerbirliği Spor KulübüSuper LigCM2331%000.000.25144213750.72

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueGalatasaray7618001566
2021/22Uefa Europa League QualifyingGalatasaray4342001311
2020/21Uefa Europa League QualifyingGalatasaray3270011458

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Campanharo
Super Lig · 2022
30€1.2M€1.2Mflat
James Jeggo
Scottish Premiership · 2024
32€500k€500kflat
Dmytro Myshnyov
Premier Liga · 2024
30€500k€250kfell
Mahmut Tekdemir
Super Lig · 2021
33€800k€300kfell
Celso Borges
Super Lig · 2020
32€600k€275kfell
Andy Rose
Scottish Premiership · 2019
29€400k€450kflat
Jens Cools
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
32€500k€100kfell
Rachid Hamdani
Super League 1 · 2016
31€600k€500kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
20 Aug 2025GalatasarayC. RizesporFree / loan€900k
30 Jun 2025Bodrum FKGalatasarayFree / loan€900k
7 Sept 2024GalatasarayBodrum FKFree / loan€1.6M
30 Jun 2024SamsunsporGalatasarayFree / loan€1.6M
25 Jul 2023GalatasaraySamsunsporFree / loan€2.3M
30 Jun 2023AnkaragücüGalatasarayFree / loan€2.3M
8 Sept 2022GalatasarayAnkaragücüFree / loan€3.5M
2 Sept 2019BB ErzurumsporGalatasarayFree / loan€1.0M
17 Aug 2017GenclerbirligiBB ErzurumsporFree / loan€200k
30 Jun 2017HacettepeGenclerbirligiFree / loan€200k
31 Aug 2016GenclerbirligiHacettepeFree / loan€500k
30 Jun 2016K. ErciyessporGenclerbirligiFree / loan€500k
1 Feb 2016GenclerbirligiK. ErciyessporFree / loan€500k
13 Aug 2014BucasporGenclerbirligi€500k€500k
11 May 2012Bucaspor YthBucasporUnknownData unavailable
13 Oct 2009Muglaspor YthBucaspor YthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.