Dmytro Myshnyov

32 yrs · Central midfielder (also AM) · Ukraine
FC Oleksandriya · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 170 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€250k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€65k – €203k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€204k – €467k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€78k – €238k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€923 – €402k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€65k – €203k
Model value (performance-implied)€204k – €467k
Projected value (24 months)€78k – €238k
Dashed line: current market value (€250k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Dmytro Myshnyov's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.30x the positional average in the league (1943 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 78

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average23.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable32.4 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €86k vs market €250k
Expected appreciationVery low-34% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €800k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1943 (72% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.07
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
24 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1068
Opponent strength
1161
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€78k – €238k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 16 pts; team strength down (-240 Elo); relative output down 70% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -46% (IQR -65% to -36%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
37 (all positions)
Relative output kept
87%–128%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
86%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaCM27194372%000.000.07116110680.25
2024/25FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaCM30150656%220.240.21120713090.28
2023/24Zorya LuganskPremier LigaCM21108840%010.080.12125112350.34
2022/23Zorya LuganskPremier LigaCM26123446%330.440.28128714060.38
2021/22FK MariupolPremier LigaCM15129980%220.280.32129611390.45
2020/21FK MariupolPremier LigaCM24212491%230.210.22128612220.49
2019/20FK MariupolPremier LigaAM22189496%340.330.39135412670.54
2018/19FK MariupolPremier LigaAM22180191%020.100.28135013100.57
2017/18FK MariupolPremier LigaCM20161682%010.060.17132612960.62
2014/15FK MariupolPremier LigaCM17137959%010.070.16135411840.54
2013/14FK MariupolPremier LigaCM931012%000.000.19139013390.63

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingFC Oleksandriya2146001341
2025/26Ukrainian CupFC Oleksandriya14500—
2024/25Ukrainian CupFC Oleksandriya210700—
2023/24Uefa Europa League QualifyingZorya Lugansk2125001550
2023/24Ukrainian CupZorya Lugansk11100—
2022/23Uefa Conference League QualifyingZorya Lugansk244001362
2021/22Ukrainian CupFK Mariupol221000—
2020/21Ukrainian CupFK Mariupol218000—
2019/20Ukrainian CupFK Mariupol433400—
2019/20Uefa Europa League QualifyingFK Mariupol2173001479
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingFK Mariupol4382101433
2017/18Ukrainian CupFK Mariupol323300—
2014/15Ukrainian CupFK Mariupol218000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Taras Moroz
Premier Liga · 2024
28€400k€250kfell
Scott Pittman
Scottish Premiership · 2023
31€500k€150kfell
Anastasios Tsokanis
Super League 1 · 2024
33€400k€150kfell
Jim Goodwin
Scottish Premiership · 2014
33€450k€300kfell
Ricardo Faty
Super Lig · 2020
34€250k€25kfell
Miguel Mellado
Super League 1 · 2023
30€600k€350kfell
Andi Lila
Super League 1 · 2019
33€250k€250kflat
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev
Premier Liga · 2024
31€600k€300kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026FC OleksandriyaWithout ClubUnknown€250k
7 Jul 2024Zorya LuganskFC OleksandriyaFree / loan€500k
1 Jul 2022FC MariupolZorya LuganskFree / loan€600k
1 Jul 2014Illichivets IIIllichivetsUnknown€300k
1 Jul 2011Ilyichivets U17Illichivets IIUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2009UnknownIlyichivets U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.