
Dmytro Myshnyov
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dmytro Myshnyov's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.30x the positional average in the league (1943 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 78
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 23.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €86k vs market €250k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -34% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1943 (72% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 24 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1068
- Opponent strength
- 1161
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €78k – €238k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 16 pts; team strength down (-240 Elo); relative output down 70% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -46% (IQR -65% to -36%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | CM | 27 | 1943 | 72% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1161 | 1068 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | CM | 30 | 1506 | 56% | 2 | 2 | 0.24 | 0.21 | 1207 | 1309 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | CM | 21 | 1088 | 40% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 1251 | 1235 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | CM | 26 | 1234 | 46% | 3 | 3 | 0.44 | 0.28 | 1287 | 1406 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | CM | 15 | 1299 | 80% | 2 | 2 | 0.28 | 0.32 | 1296 | 1139 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | CM | 24 | 2124 | 91% | 2 | 3 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 1286 | 1222 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | AM | 22 | 1894 | 96% | 3 | 4 | 0.33 | 0.39 | 1354 | 1267 | 0.54 |
| 2018/19 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | AM | 22 | 1801 | 91% | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.28 | 1350 | 1310 | 0.57 |
| 2017/18 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | CM | 20 | 1616 | 82% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.17 | 1326 | 1296 | 0.62 |
| 2014/15 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | CM | 17 | 1379 | 59% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.16 | 1354 | 1184 | 0.54 |
| 2013/14 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | CM | 9 | 310 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 1390 | 1339 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Oleksandriya | 2 | 146 | 0 | 0 | 1341 |
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 2 | 107 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 125 | 0 | 0 | 1550 |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 1362 |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Mariupol | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Mariupol | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Mariupol | 4 | 334 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FK Mariupol | 2 | 173 | 0 | 0 | 1479 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FK Mariupol | 4 | 382 | 1 | 0 | 1433 |
| 2017/18 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Mariupol | 3 | 233 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Mariupol | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taras Moroz Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €400k | €250k | fell |
| Scott Pittman Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 31 | €500k | €150k | fell |
| Anastasios Tsokanis Super League 1 · 2024 | 33 | €400k | €150k | fell |
| Jim Goodwin Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 33 | €450k | €300k | fell |
| Ricardo Faty Super Lig · 2020 | 34 | €250k | €25k | fell |
| Miguel Mellado Super League 1 · 2023 | 30 | €600k | €350k | fell |
| Andi Lila Super League 1 · 2019 | 33 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Vladyslav Kalitvintsev Premier Liga · 2024 | 31 | €600k | €300k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | FC Oleksandriya | Without Club | Unknown | €250k |
| 7 Jul 2024 | Zorya Lugansk | FC Oleksandriya | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | FC Mariupol | Zorya Lugansk | Free / loan | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Illichivets II | Illichivets | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Ilyichivets U17 | Illichivets II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Unknown | Ilyichivets U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.