
Marko Pjaca
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Marko Pjaca's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-1.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.74x the positional average in the league (912 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 49
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 34.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €458k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -51% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 912 (30% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.30
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.30
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 35 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1403
- Opponent strength
- 1271
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €347k – €1.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -63% (IQR -71% to -58%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ⚠Limited sample: 912 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | LW | 27 | 912 | 30% | 2 | 1 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 1271 | 1403 | 0.43 |
| 2022/23 | FC Empoli | Serie A | LW | 17 | 520 | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.36 | 1500 | 1388 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Torino FC | Serie A | AM | 24 | 1148 | 34% | 3 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.34 | 1431 | 1423 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Genoa CFC | Serie A | SS | 35 | 1413 | 41% | 3 | 2 | 0.32 | 0.57 | 1520 | 1394 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 4 | 160 | 6% | 1 | 0 | 0.56 | 0.34 | 1255 | 1443 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | ACF Fiorentina | Serie A | LW | 19 | 744 | 22% | 1 | 1 | 0.24 | 0.34 | 1436 | 1384 | 0.78 |
| 2017/18 | FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga | LW | 7 | 259 | 8% | 2 | 0 | 0.69 | 0.40 | 1479 | 1618 | 1.04 |
| 2016/17 | Juventus FC | Serie A | LW | 14 | 448 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1421 | 1832 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 2 | 65 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 6 | 344 | 1 | 3 | 1608 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | 143 | 2 | 0 | 1554 |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 2 | 95 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Genoa CFC | 3 | 170 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | Juventus FC | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Dfb Pokal | FC Schalke 04 | 2 | 128 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | Juventus FC | 4 | 94 | 1 | 0 | 1565 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 85 | 2 | 1 | 1290 |
| 2016/17 | Italy Cup | Juventus FC | 2 | 34 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Jörgensen Super Lig · 2022 | 31 | €1.0M | €400k | fell |
| Victor Sá Premier Liga · 2024 | 30 | €2.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Benjamin Verbic Super League 1 · 2024 | 31 | €2.0M | €500k | fell |
| Wilson Eduardo Super Lig · 2022 | 32 | €1.3M | €600k | fell |
| Davidson Super Lig · 2024 | 33 | €850k | €350k | fell |
| Nacer Chadli Super Lig · 2022 | 33 | €2.8M | €400k | fell |
| Igor de Camargo Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 31 | €2.0M | €700k | fell |
| Rachid Ghezzal Super Lig · 2024 | 32 | €2.0M | €600k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Sept 2025 | Dinamo Zagreb | FC Twente | Free / loan | €2.7M |
| 4 Jul 2024 | HNK Rijeka | Dinamo Zagreb | €1.5M | €2.5M |
| 1 Sept 2023 | Juventus | HNK Rijeka | Free / loan | €1.7M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | FC Empoli | Juventus | Free / loan | €1.7M |
| 1 Sept 2022 | Juventus | FC Empoli | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Torino | Juventus | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 28 Jul 2021 | Juventus | Torino | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Genoa | Juventus | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 19 Sept 2020 | Juventus | Genoa | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2020 | RSC Anderlecht | Juventus | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 31 Jan 2020 | Juventus | RSC Anderlecht | Free / loan | €7.5M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Fiorentina | Juventus | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 7 Aug 2018 | Juventus | Fiorentina | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | FC Schalke 04 | Juventus | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 4 Jan 2018 | Juventus | FC Schalke 04 | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 21 Jul 2016 | Dinamo Zagreb | Juventus | €29.4M | €18.0M |
| 1 Jul 2014 | NK Lokomotiva | Dinamo Zagreb | €1.0M | €950k |
| 28 Jan 2012 | Lokomotiva U17 | NK Lokomotiva | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 2 Jul 2010 | NK ZET 1927 | Lokomotiva U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 4 Sept 2009 | D. Zagreb Yth. | NK ZET 1927 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.