Paulo Dybala

The model rates Paulo Dybala's performance-implied value at EUR 4.8M-12.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.8M-6.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.3M-3.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.86x the positional average in the league (1356 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1356 (40% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.60

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.46

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

88 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.93 (rank 4)

Team strength (Elo)

1638

Opponent strength

1486

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€1.3M – €3.3M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -69% (IQR -79% to -64%).

• ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Limited sample: 1356 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.