Kenny Tete
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Kenny Tete's performance-implied value at EUR 7.5M-13.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.9M-7.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.0M-4.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 7
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 89.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €4.6M vs market €8.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -64% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1795 (53% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.05
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 90 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1576
- Opponent strength
- 1563
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.0M – €4.6M
Trajectory drivers: relative output down 24% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -58% (IQR -72% to -44%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1795 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fulham FC | Premier League | RB | 22 | 1795 | 52% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 1563 | 1576 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Fulham FC | Premier League | RB | 22 | 1779 | 52% | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 1580 | 1555 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Fulham FC | Premier League | RB | 14 | 868 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 1571 | 1524 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Fulham FC | Premier League | RB | 31 | 2575 | 75% | 1 | 5 | 0.21 | 0.29 | 1583 | 1495 | 1.23 |
| 2020/21 | Fulham FC | Premier League | RB | 22 | 1482 | 43% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.14 | 1569 | 1352 | 1.19 |
| 2020/21 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | RB | 1 | 19 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1336 | 1587 | 0.75 |
| 2019/20 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | RB | 18 | 1063 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1406 | 1566 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | RB | 13 | 1050 | 31% | 0 | 3 | 0.26 | 0.14 | 1431 | 1604 | 0.82 |
| 2017/18 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | RB | 22 | 1603 | 47% | 1 | 4 | 0.28 | 0.16 | 1468 | 1645 | 0.85 |
| 2016/17 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | RB | 5 | 450 | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1267 | 1627 | 0.54 |
| 2015/16 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | RB | 21 | 1595 | 52% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 1319 | 1619 | 0.58 |
| 2014/15 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | RB | 5 | 381 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1294 | 1543 | 0.52 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Fulham FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Fulham FC | 5 | 263 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Fa Cup | Fulham FC | 1 | 91 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Olympique Lyon | 5 | 142 | 0 | 0 | 1758 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Olympique Lyon | 3 | 196 | 0 | 0 | 1626 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Olympique Lyon | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1559 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 8 | 578 | 1 | 1 | 1515 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1442 |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 5 | 387 | 0 | 0 | 1516 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1412 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1375 |
| 2015/16 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimír Coufal Premier League · 2023 | 31 | €9.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Jonny Evans Premier League · 2019 | 31 | €10.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Sidnei Laliga · 2019 | 30 | €10.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Benoît Trémoulinas Laliga · 2016 | 31 | €7.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Liam Cooper Premier League · 2021 | 30 | €7.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Coke Laliga · 2016 | 29 | €3.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Danny Rose Premier League · 2020 | 30 | €16.0M | €2.2M | fell |
| Fabián Balbuena Premier League · 2019 | 28 | €12.0M | €5.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sept 2020 | Lyon | Fulham | €3.2M | €5.5M |
| 10 Jul 2017 | Ajax | Lyon | €4.0M | €5.5M |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Ajax U21 | Ajax | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Ajax U19 | Ajax U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Ajax U17 | Ajax U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Ajax Youth | Ajax U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2005 | Zeeburgia Yth. | Ajax Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2004 | DWS Youth | Zeeburgia Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.