
Siebe Schrijvers
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Siebe Schrijvers's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-3.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.67x the positional average in the league (1482 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 51
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 45.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €490k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -50% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1482 (55% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.36
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.37
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 45 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1329
- Opponent strength
- 1380
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €446k – €1.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -66% (IQR -71% to -51%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1482 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 20 | 1482 | 55% | 2 | 4 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 1380 | 1329 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 28 | 1824 | 68% | 4 | 3 | 0.35 | 0.38 | 1388 | 1323 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 29 | 2474 | 92% | 3 | 2 | 0.18 | 0.22 | 1390 | 1302 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 16 | 1107 | 36% | 2 | 2 | 0.33 | 0.27 | 1309 | 1338 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 32 | 2378 | 78% | 4 | 2 | 0.23 | 0.29 | 1356 | 1246 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 12 | 603 | 20% | 2 | 1 | 0.45 | 0.33 | 1379 | 1268 | 0.55 |
| 2020/21 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 10 | 303 | 10% | 0 | 3 | 0.89 | 0.21 | 1306 | 1570 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 22 | 1206 | 46% | 4 | 5 | 0.67 | 0.28 | 1344 | 1578 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | SS | 24 | 1624 | 60% | 11 | 4 | 0.83 | 0.45 | 1359 | 1546 | 0.65 |
| 2017/18 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 27 | 1997 | 74% | 5 | 2 | 0.32 | 0.19 | 1364 | 1445 | 0.63 |
| 2016/17 | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League | SS | 19 | 1708 | 63% | 5 | 7 | 0.63 | 0.72 | 1336 | 1253 | 0.62 |
| 2016/17 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | RW | 8 | 634 | 23% | 1 | 2 | 0.43 | 0.36 | 1339 | 1500 | 0.62 |
| 2015/16 | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League | RW | 9 | 810 | 30% | 3 | 2 | 0.56 | 0.65 | 1375 | 1224 | 0.57 |
| 2015/16 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 11 | 237 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1292 | 1400 | 0.57 |
| 2014/15 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 27 | 1438 | 53% | 5 | 2 | 0.44 | 0.28 | 1286 | 1374 | 0.54 |
| 2013/14 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 5 | 81 | 3% | 1 | 0 | 1.11 | 0.18 | 1282 | 1322 | 0.49 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 10 | 636 | 1 | 1 | 1381 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1695 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 4 | 77 | 0 | 0 | 1620 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1561 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1662 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 148 | 0 | 0 | 1682 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1782 |
| 2018/19 | Volkswagen Supercup | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1408 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | KRC Genk | 6 | 327 | 0 | 1 | 1485 |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League | KRC Genk | 2 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 1377 |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | KRC Genk | 1 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1336 |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Europa League | KRC Genk | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1470 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Güray Vural Super Lig · 2017 | 29 | €2.0M | €650k | fell |
| Denis Popovic Premier Liga · 2019 | 30 | €1.5M | €650k | fell |
| Igor Gorbatenko Premier Liga · 2020 | 31 | €1.4M | €150k | fell |
| Timur Ayupov Premier Liga · 2023 | 30 | €1.0M | €700k | fell |
| Pelé Liga Portugal · 2021 | 30 | €2.0M | €600k | fell |
| Yoni Buyens Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 28 | €1.5M | €400k | fell |
| Christophe Lepoint Jupiler Pro League · 2013 | 29 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Andi Lila Super League 1 · 2015 | 29 | €1.4M | €500k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2021 | Club Brugge | OH Leuven | €1.7M | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Genk | Club Brugge | €3.0M | €3.5M |
| 18 Jan 2017 | Waasland-Beveren | Genk | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Jan 2016 | Genk | Waasland-Beveren | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 19 Jul 2012 | KRC Genk Youth | Genk | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.