Siebe Schrijvers

30 yrs · Central midfielder (also RW, SS) · Belgium
Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: right · Height: 179 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€1.5M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€368k – €1.1M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€798k – €3.7M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€446k – €1.3M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€331k – €3.3M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€368k – €1.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€798k – €3.7M
Projected value (24 months)€446k – €1.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Siebe Schrijvers's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-3.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.67x the positional average in the league (1482 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 51

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage45.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €490k vs market €1.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-50% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.65
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €7.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1482 (55% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.36
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.37
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
45 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.65 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1329
Opponent strength
1380
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€446k – €1.3M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -66% (IQR -71% to -51%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1482 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
60 (MID)
Relative output kept
63%–142%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
72%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Oud-Heverlee LeuvenJupiler Pro LeagueCM20148255%240.360.37138013290.65
2024/25Oud-Heverlee LeuvenJupiler Pro LeagueCM28182468%430.350.38138813230.63
2023/24Oud-Heverlee LeuvenJupiler Pro LeagueCM29247492%320.180.22139013020.63
2022/23Oud-Heverlee LeuvenJupiler Pro LeagueCM16110736%220.330.27130913380.58
2021/22Oud-Heverlee LeuvenJupiler Pro LeagueCM32237878%420.230.29135612460.49
2020/21Oud-Heverlee LeuvenJupiler Pro LeagueCM1260320%210.450.33137912680.55
2020/21Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueCM1030310%030.890.21130615700.55
2019/20Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueCM22120646%450.670.28134415780.63
2018/19Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueSS24162460%1140.830.45135915460.65
2017/18KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM27199774%520.320.19136414450.63
2016/17SK BeverenJupiler Pro LeagueSS19170863%570.630.72133612530.62
2016/17KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueRW863423%120.430.36133915000.62
2015/16SK BeverenJupiler Pro LeagueRW981030%320.560.65137512240.57
2015/16KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM112379%000.000.10129214000.57
2014/15KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM27143853%520.440.28128613740.54
2013/14KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueCM5813%101.110.18128213220.49

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Jupiler Pro League Europe Play OffsOud-Heverlee Leuven10636111381
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV323001695
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV477001620
2019/20Uefa Champions League QualifyingClub Brugge KV127001561
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueClub Brugge KV117001662
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueClub Brugge KV2148001682
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV272001782
2018/19Volkswagen SupercupClub Brugge KV119001408
2016/17Uefa Europa LeagueKRC Genk6327011485
2013/14Uefa Europa LeagueKRC Genk278001377
2013/14Uefa Europa League QualifyingKRC Genk131001336
2012/13Uefa Europa LeagueKRC Genk12001470

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Güray Vural
Super Lig · 2017
29€2.0M€650kfell
Denis Popovic
Premier Liga · 2019
30€1.5M€650kfell
Igor Gorbatenko
Premier Liga · 2020
31€1.4M€150kfell
Timur Ayupov
Premier Liga · 2023
30€1.0M€700kfell
Pelé
Liga Portugal · 2021
30€2.0M€600kfell
Yoni Buyens
Jupiler Pro League · 2016
28€1.5M€400kfell
Christophe Lepoint
Jupiler Pro League · 2013
29€1.5M€1.5Mflat
Andi Lila
Super League 1 · 2015
29€1.4M€500kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
15 Jan 2021Club BruggeOH Leuven€1.7M€3.0M
1 Jul 2018GenkClub Brugge€3.0M€3.5M
18 Jan 2017Waasland-BeverenGenkFree / loan€1.5M
1 Jan 2016GenkWaasland-BeverenFree / loan€1.5M
19 Jul 2012KRC Genk YouthGenkUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.