Djibril Sow
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Djibril Sow's performance-implied value at EUR 3.5M-7.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.0M-7.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.1M-5.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.95x the positional average in the league (2195 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 27
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 74.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €4.6M vs market €7.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -49% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2195 (64% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.37
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.43
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 75 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1397
- Opponent strength
- 1519
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.1M – €5.7M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 109% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -37% (IQR -54% to -10%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | CM | 33 | 2195 | 64% | 5 | 4 | 0.37 | 0.43 | 1519 | 1397 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | CM | 30 | 2070 | 61% | 2 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.20 | 1501 | 1410 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | CM | 24 | 1468 | 43% | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.19 | 1521 | 1475 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | CM | 32 | 2651 | 87% | 4 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.12 | 1520 | 1541 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | DM | 31 | 2422 | 79% | 2 | 3 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 1502 | 1594 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | DM | 28 | 2180 | 71% | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 1530 | 1602 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | CM | 29 | 1738 | 57% | 1 | 3 | 0.21 | 0.18 | 1535 | 1535 | 1.06 |
| 2016/17 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | CM | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1471 | 1549 | 1.06 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 2 | 94 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Switzerland | 2 | 93 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 2 | 86 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Sevilla FC | 6 | 373 | 0 | 0 | 1678 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 3 | 253 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0 | 1680 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 470 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Super Cup | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1829 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 12 | 1089 | 1 | 3 | 1544 |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 765 | 0 | 2 | 1588 |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James McArthur Premier League · 2017 | 30 | €7.0M | €7.0M | flat |
| Édgar Barreto Serie A · 2015 | 31 | €5.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Gonzalo Melero Laliga · 2023 | 29 | €4.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Luca Cigarini Serie A · 2013 | 27 | €7.5M | €6.0M | fell |
| Téji Savanier Ligue 1 · 2021 | 30 | €11.0M | €10.0M | flat |
| Adrien Tamèze Serie A · 2022 | 28 | €10.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Emil Hallfredsson Serie A · 2015 | 31 | €3.2M | €1.5M | fell |
| Nahitan Nández Serie A · 2024 | 29 | €5.0M | €4.5M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2023 | Frankfurt | Sevilla FC | €10.0M | €22.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Young Boys | Frankfurt | €14.0M | €9.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Mönchengladbach | Young Boys | €2.0M | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | M'gladbach II | Mönchengladbach | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2015 | FC Zürich U21 | M'gladbach II | €1.5M | €1.3M |
| 1 Jul 2014 | FC Zürich U18 | FC Zürich U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | FC Zürich U16 | FC Zürich U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.